So says ROdney Brooks, and now let us "AGI enthusiasts" take his assertion
apart piece by piece.

http://rodneybrooks.com/agi-has-been-delayed/#comment-18920 -- Brooks on
May 20, 2019.

"That is my frustration with the AGI crowd. They may be sincere, as another
reader has commented here,..."

Very truly yours Mentifex made the "sincere" comment.

"but I can not see any plan from any of them."

Because most of the "AGI crowd" have no clue.

"Rather, most (as I have documented in an earlier post where I did an
exhaustive analysis of the proceedings of many years of one of the AGI
conference series) of their papers are about how long it will take."

That's their favorite topic -- how long AGI will take.

"A few other papers are small technical results – and I don’t say in a
dismissive way – all really good progress comes from tens of thousands of
small technical results piled on top of each other over decades."

And is that how Crick and Watson figured out DNA? Thousands of small steps
until a ghostly, ghastly answer emerged? No. They took an image that some
woman had captured, and they figured out the double helix of four amino
acids.

"But I see no plans on how to achieve AGI, and no new ideas from 'AGI
enthusiasts'  on how to get there."

Just as Steve Jobs of Apple said to John Sculley of Pepsi, "Do you want to
spend the rest of your life selling sugar-water?" now we must say to you,
"Do you want to spend the rest of your life making robots that vacuum
floors?"

"No coherent intellectual ideas about how to proceed."

The answers to AGI are so simple that they are hiding in plain sight.

"Hinton always had a coherent intellectual approach and goal. And he
succeeded ultimately after decades of perseverance by him and his followers
within his intellectual framework."

And were there any Hinton-bashers preventing his progress?

http://github.com/kernc/mindforth/blob/master/wiki/MentifexBashing.wiki

"It is extraordinarily hard to make progress without a coherent
intellectual framework, and so far AGI has not come up with one."

COHERENT INTELLECTUAL FRAMEWORK

To create AGI, we must replicate the human mind.
(Pertinent common quote: "The mind is what the brain does.")

In the human brain, neuronal fibers may carry sensory inputs, hold
experiential or motor memories, represent concepts, and carry motor outputs
to actuators (muscles).

The representation of concepts in neuronal fibers is the key to
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Natural-language_understanding (NLU).

http://ai.neocities.org/theory.html -- hiding in plain sight.

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