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Sent: Sun, 27 Jan 2008 11:54 pm
Subject: Red China Eats the World













Rio predicts political strife as China’s appetite grows









David Robertson 


January 28, 2008


http://business.timesonline.co.uk/tol/business/markets/china/article3261567.ece






China’s booming economy is expected to consume more than half of the world’s 
key resources within a decade, according to Rio Tinto. 


The rapid industrialisation of China’s economy means that it is likely to 
consume a majority of the world’s supply of all the major metals and minerals, 
potentially leading to clashes with other countries over access to resources. 
Rio Tinto, the world’s second-largest miner, said last week that China already 
accounted for 47 per cent of all iron ore consumption, 32 per cent of aluminium 
and 25 per cent of copper. 


Tom Albanese, Rio’s chief executive, has predicted that within the next couple 
of years this will move to 58 per cent of all iron ore, 45 per cent of 
aluminium and a third of all copper. He said: “Even with the assumption that 
the current growth intensity will slow, we are looking at China consuming a 
higher percentage of global supply.” 


Vivek Tulpule, Rio’s chief economist, said that with China likely to consume 
more than half of the world’s key resources within a decade, political concerns 
would be raised as the country seeks to control access to the resources its 
economy needs. 


In 1990, China accounted for only about 5 per cent of all copper demand and 3 
per cent of aluminium and iron ore. The country is already the largest buyer of 
nickel, copper, aluminium, steel, coal and iron ore. Only in oil does it fall 
behind, coming second to the United States. 


By 2015, China will be consuming nearly a billion tonnes of iron ore a year. To 
meet this demand, large mining companies are ramping up production in areas 
such as Western Australia’s Pilbara region, which is geographically one of the 
closest ore deposits to China. Rio Tinto expects to increase its production in 
the Pilbara from 160 million tonnes a year to 320 million tonnes by 2013. BHP 
Bil-liton, the world’s largest miner, hopes to achieve 300 million tonnes by 
2015. 


Mr Tulpule said: “The US’s consumption of the key metals has been going 
backwards while China has continued to grow. [China's] share of global demand 
will continue to rise until about 2020 when other economies like India start to 
challenge it.” 




















 


COMMENTS:











Many people in North America have the view that China is still behind the 
curve. I am living in China temporarily and I can tell you it is very modern 
and forward thinking in their strategic planning. 80% of the population ride 
electric scooters around Shanghai with special roads separated from the regular 
truck and car traffic. The new buildings have all the amenities and ABM are in 
no short supply. The large apartment complexes that the majority of the people 
occupy have all the conveniences that North America has and in some cases are 
replete with large swimming pools and beautiful gardens. The lights at night 
around Suzhou make North American cities look tame. When one sees how 
progressive the Chinese nation is , one can easily believe the predictions of 
future consumption.





Greg Nixon, Calgary, Alberta, Canada










Start the year off right.  Easy ways to stay in shape in the new year. 

 


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