------ Forwarded Message
> From: "dasg...@aol.com" <dasg...@aol.com>
> Date: Tue, 29 Dec 2009 06:38:38 EST
> To: Robert Millegan <ramille...@aol.com>
> Cc: <ema...@aol.com>, <j...@aol.com>, <jim6...@cwnet.com>
> Subject: Obama Threatens Iran for Actions "Proven" by Document CIA Says Is a
> Forgery
> 

> "Will no one rid us of these meddlesome Neocons?"
>  
> U.S. Intelligence Found Iran Nuke Document Was Forged
> 
> By Gareth Porter*
> http://www.ipsnews.net/news.asp?idnews=49833
> 
> WASHINGTON, Dec 28 (IPS) - U.S. intelligence has concluded that the document
> published recently by the Times of London, which purportedly describes an
> Iranian plan to do experiments on what the newspaper described as a "neutron
> initiator" for an atomic weapon, is a fabrication, according to a former
> Central Intelligence Agency official.
> 
> Philip Giraldi, who was a CIA counterterrorism official from 1976 to 1992,
> told IPS that intelligence sources say that the United States had nothing to
> do with forging the document, and that Israel is the primary suspect. The
> sources do not rule out a British role in the fabrication, however.
> 
> The Times of London story published Dec. 14 did not identify the source of the
> document. But it quoted "an Asian intelligence source" -- a term some news
> media have used for Israeli intelligence officials -- as confirming that his
> government believes Iran was working on a neutron initiator as recently as
> 2007. 
> 
> The story of the purported Iranian document prompted a new round of
> expressions of U.S. and European support for tougher sanctions against Iran
> and reminders of Israel's threats to attack Iranian nuclear programme targets
> if diplomacy fails.
> 
> U.S. news media reporting has left the impression that U.S. intelligence
> analysts have not made up their mind about the document's authenticity,
> although it has been widely reported that they have now had a full year to
> assess the issue.
> 
> Giraldi's intelligence sources did not reveal all the reasons that led
> analysts to conclude that the purported Iran document had been fabricated by a
> foreign intelligence agency. But their suspicions of fraud were prompted in
> part by the source of the story, according to Giraldi.
> 
> "The Rupert Murdoch chain has been used extensively to publish false
> intelligence from the Israelis and occasionally from the British government,"
> Giraldi said. 
> 
> The Times is part of a Murdoch publishing empire that includes the Sunday
> Times, Fox News and the New York Post. All Murdoch-owned news media report on
> Iran with an aggressively pro-Israeli slant.
> 
> The document itself also had a number of red flags suggesting possible or
> likely fraud. 
> 
> The subject of the two-page document which the Times published in English
> translation would be highly classified under any state's security system. Yet
> there is no confidentiality marking on the document, as can be seen from the
> photograph of the Farsi-language original published by the Times.
> 
> The absence of security markings has been cited by the Iranian ambassador to
> the International Atomic Energy Agency, Ali Asghar Soltanieh, as evidence that
> the "alleged studies" documents, which were supposedly purloined from an
> alleged Iranian nuclear weapons-related programme early in this decade, are
> forgeries. 
> 
> The document also lacks any information identifying either the issuing office
> or the intended recipients. The document refers cryptically to "the Centre",
> "the Institute", "the Committee", and the "neutron group".
> 
> The document's extreme vagueness about the institutions does not appear to
> match the concreteness of the plans, which call for hiring eight individuals
> for different tasks for very specific numbers of hours for a four-year time
> frame. 
> 
> Including security markings and such identifying information in a document
> increases the likelihood of errors that would give the fraud away.
> 
> The absence of any date on the document also conflicts with the specificity of
> much of the information. The Times reported that unidentified "foreign
> intelligence agencies" had dated the document to early 2007, but gave no
> reason for that judgment.
> 
> An obvious motive for suggesting the early 2007 date is that it would
> discredit the U.S. intelligence community's November 2007 National
> Intelligence Estimate, which concluded that Iran had discontinued unidentified
> work on nuclear weapons and had not resumed it as of the time of the estimate.
> 
> Discrediting the NIE has been a major objective of the Israeli government for
> the past two years, and the British and French governments have supported the
> Israeli effort. 
> 
> The biggest reason for suspecting that the document is a fraud is its obvious
> effort to suggest past Iranian experiments related to a neutron initiator.
> After proposing experiments on detecting pulsed neutrons, the document refers
> to "locations where such experiments used to be conducted".
> 
> That reference plays to the widespread assumption, which has been embraced by
> the International Atomic Energy Agency, that Iran had carried out experiments
> with Polonium-210 in the late 1980s, indicating an interest in neutron
> initiators. The IAEA referred in reports from 2004 through 2007 to its belief
> that the experiment with Polonium-210 had potential relevance to making "a
> neutron initiator in some designs of nuclear weapons".
> 
> The National Council of Resistance of Iran (NCRI), the political arm of the
> terrorist organisation Mujahedeen-e Khalq, claimed in February 2005 that
> Iran's research with Polonium-210 was continuing and that it was now close to
> producing a neutron initiator for a nuclear weapon.
> 
> Sanger and Broad were so convinced that the Polonium-210 experiments proved
> Iran's interest in a neutron initiator that they referred in their story on
> the leaked document to both the IAEA reports on the experiments in the late
> 1980s and the claim by NCRI of continuing Iranian work on such a nuclear
> trigger. 
> 
> What Sanger and Broad failed to report, however, is that the IAEA has
> acknowledged that it was mistaken in its earlier assessment that the
> Polonium-210 experiments were related to a neutron initiator.
> 
> After seeing the complete documentation on the original project, including
> complete copies of the reactor logbook for the entire period, the IAEA
> concluded in its Feb. 22, 2008 report that Iran's explanations that the
> Polonium-210 project was fundamental research with the eventual aim of
> possible application to radio isotope batteries was "consistent with the
> Agency's findings and with other information available to it".
> 
> The IAEA report said the issue of Polonium-210 ­ and thus the earlier
> suspicion of an Iranian interest in using it as a neutron initiator for a
> nuclear weapon - was now considered "no longer outstanding".
> 
> New York Times reporters David Sanger and William J. Broad reported U.S.
> intelligence officials as saying the intelligence analysts "have yet to
> authenticate the document".  Sanger and Broad explained the failure to do so,
> however, as a result of excessive caution left over from the CIA's having
> failed to brand as a fabrication the document purporting to show an Iraqi
> effort to buy uranium in Niger.
> 
> The Washington Post's Joby Warrick dismissed the possibility that the document
> might be found to be fraudulent. "There is no way to establish the
> authenticity or original source of the document...," wrote Warrick.
> 
> But the line that the intelligence community had authenticated it evidently
> reflected the Barack Obama administration's desire to avoid undercutting a
> story that supports its efforts to get Russian and Chinese support for tougher
> sanctions against Iran.
> 
> This is not the first time that Giraldi has been tipped off by his
> intelligence sources on forged documents. Giraldi identified the individual or
> office responsible for creating the two most notorious forged documents in
> recent U.S. intelligence history.
> 
> In 2005, Giraldi identified Michael Ledeen, the extreme right-wing former
> consultant to the National Security Council and the Pentagon, as an author of
> the fabricated letter purporting to show Iraqi interest in purchasing uranium
> from Niger. That letter was used by the George W. Bush administration to
> bolster its false case that Saddam Hussein had an active nuclear weapons
> programme. 
> 
> Giraldi also identified officials in the "Office of Special Plans" who worked
> under Undersecretary of Defense for Policy Douglas Feith as having forged a
> letter purportedly written by Hussein's intelligence director, Tahir Jalail
> Habbush al-Tikriti, to Hussein himself referring to an Iraqi intelligence
> operation to arrange for an unidentified shipment from Niger.
> 
> *Gareth Porter is an investigative historian and journalist specialising in
> U.S. national security policy. The paperback edition of his latest book,
> "Perils of Dominance: Imbalance of Power and the Road to War in Vietnam", was
> published in 2006.
> 
> 
> ------ End of Forwarded Message

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