My hypothesis is that:

1) There are both young and old people that have few social connections and 
don't cope well with it.

2) They are introduced to some toxic environment like X or Nextdoor where they 
feel seen and feel a part of something like Elon worship or disgust of homeless 
people.

3) They adopt the behaviors of the group.  It almost doesn't matter how crazy 
the group beliefs are, provided some apparent membership is provided.

Breaking that up seems like it could be done with AI.   In real life, human 
friends might intervene.  They might drag their friend to ride around on ATVs 
or shoot things or go to a bar or encourage them to call their mom.    Except 
in real life some customers will have no human friends.  Learning that a 
customer enjoys Alice and Bob's conflicts about GPU programming or that he is 
amused to hear Marcus carry on about the Emacs ahead-of-time compiler is just 
another set of patterns to be captured by the AI.  Other customers would have 
other peculiar preferences to learn like "Always on your side."   

One could even imagine having social worker or coach AI services that would 
help find jobs or assist with drug addiction (with wearables).   Through these 
public services, one could inject one-on-one AI supervision in a principled way.

Marcus

-----Original Message-----
From: Friam <friam-boun...@redfish.com> On Behalf Of glen
Sent: Monday, April 21, 2025 11:54 AM
To: friam@redfish.com
Subject: Re: [FRIAM] The broken American Dream

Neither seems to exhibit multiple personalities though, right? I mean, I'd want 
them to at least claim to be different personalities and have different names. 
And it would be ruined by a metalayer for commands like "Ellie, change to 
Marcus personality". I'd want the Marcus personality to jump in at some 
arbitrary time. Even better, I'd like to accidentally overhear an argument 
taking place between Alice and Bob, maybe about the extent to which a workflow 
can port from NVIDIA to AMD ... or even about Emacs vs Vim ... or how best to 
load the dishwasher.

And that tagline "Always here to listen and talk. Always on your side" makes me 
want to puke. I have ZERO friends who exhibit those attributes ... probably by 
intention. How about "Rarely here to listen. Always here to hear themselves 
talk. Never able to repeat your arguments back to you." Now *that* would make a 
good friend.


On 4/21/25 11:34 AM, Marcus Daniels wrote:
> Two companies..
> 
> https://replika.com/
> https://elliq.com
> 
> 
> -----Original Message-----
> From: Friam <friam-boun...@redfish.com> On Behalf Of glen
> Sent: Monday, April 21, 2025 10:37 AM
> To: friam@redfish.com
> Subject: Re: [FRIAM] The broken American Dream
> 
> But the core concept is *interestingness*. While some of us might be able to 
> "lock in" more often or for longer periods, there'll be variance in those 
> behaviors inter- and intra-individually. So the main thing the AI has to do 
> is estimate individual-specific ping intervals. I argue the content of the 
> pings is less relevant than the rhythm of the pings.
> 
> Also more relevant than content is the "identity" of the pinger. Having the 
> same person ping me 12 times a day, regardless of the content, is just 
> irritating. But having different people ping me, one 2 times, one 5 times, 
> one 4 times, etc. is interesting and person-dependent. Hell, I have a very 
> good friend who I only talk to ~ every 4 *years*. He remains a good friend 
> despite the low ping rate.
> 
> 
> On 4/21/25 10:20 AM, Marcus Daniels wrote:
>> My iPhone gives me pending message counts associated with various message 
>> boards, e-mail, even my health insurance.   As I was skimming over them, it 
>> occurred to me that George did not have a little count above his app.  Why 
>> had George not reached out?   I must be boring to George!   Maybe if George 
>> reached out to folks, he could keep them sane?   Keep their mind working in 
>> a more productive direction.   Idle hands are the devil’s playground.    
>> Like in All the Trouble of the World.   George can generate content faster 
>> than most people can think.    He could drown out radicalism by brute force.
>>
>> *From:*Friam <friam-boun...@redfish.com> *On Behalf Of *Jochen Fromm
>> *Sent:* Monday, April 21, 2025 9:54 AM
>> *To:* The Friday Morning Applied Complexity Coffee Group <friam@redfish.com>
>> *Subject:* Re: [FRIAM] The broken American Dream
>>
>> If you describe it like this then "government" sounds like a giant entity 
>> that wants to crush and suppress us or wants to take away our freedom.
>>
>> IMHO it is helpful to think in systems and subsystems. The military 
>> certainly tries to force people to align their behavior in order to make 
>> them well oiled cogs in its war machine. Parties and religions try to 
>> convince their members to follow their core ideas and ideals. Corporations 
>> try to convince people to conform their behavior and their beliefs to there 
>> world view to buy more of their products.
>>
>> To me it looks like the world as a whole has come to a turning point. If I 
>> travel by train through the country, the world here in Europe looks largely 
>> like the world 40 or 50 years ago. But if I look more closely then most 
>> factories are gone, the coal mines have closed and the oil fields in the 
>> North Sea are exploited.
>>
>> There are giant terminals in our ports and harbors where the container ships 
>> from China and the oil tankers from Saudi Arabia arrive. We seem to have 
>> reached peak oil now, which means we have consumed half of all oil reserves 
>> in the ground. Coal reserves might last a few decades longer. The problem is 
>> if we consume the other half of all fossil fuels then large parts of the 
>> world could become inhabitable and the other half will drown in plastic 
>> waste.
>>
>> I fear Mr. Trump is unable to comprehend the magnitude of the crisis. How 
>> could he if he spends his time on Golf courses and doesn't even listen to 
>> his intelligence briefings. Destroying the economy based on exponential 
>> growth might be good if it is replaced by something more sustainable which 
>> does not ruin the environment, but this is not what he is trying to do. He 
>> is clinging to an illusion, to an abstract idea of greatness and glory, to a 
>> broken dream. The coal mines and factories will not come back. And they were 
>> never great in the first place. My great grandfather worked in a coal mine 
>> and fought in the trenches of WWI, and both places were hell on Earth.
>>
>>
>>
>> -J.
>>
>>
>>
>> -------- Original message --------
>>
>> From: Prof David West <profw...@fastmail.fm <mailto:profw...@fastmail.fm>>
>>
>> Date: 4/21/25 4:05 PM (GMT+01:00)
>>
>> To: friam@redfish.com <mailto:friam@redfish.com>
>>
>> Subject: Re: [FRIAM] The broken American Dream
>>
>> Jochen,
>>
>> re: 'broken American dream'
>>
>> Speaking as a disillusioned hippie-radical-revolutionary: this famous 
>> fragment from Yeat's poem, /The Second Coming/, feels very relevant.
>>
>> /Things fall apart; the centre cannot hold;/
>>
>> /Mere anarchy is loosed upon the world,/
>>
>> /The blood-dimmed tide is loosed, and everywhere/
>>
>> /The ceremony of innocence is drowned;/
>>
>> /The best lack all conviction, while the worst/
>>
>> /Are full of passionate intensity./
>>
>> I was a hippie first, naively believing in the possibility of an life 
>> affirming society. Inspired by fiction as varied as /The Harrad Experiment/ 
>> and /Stranger in a Strange Land/ (actually all of Heinlein).
>>
>> Vietnam was a roundhouse to the jaw. How and why could government be so evil 
>> and misguided? (A, perhaps, secondary trigger was the demonization of 
>> Timothy Leary and proscription of psychedelics.) I became a radical and 
>> revolutionary (still have my copy of Mao's Little Red Book) and did make 
>> bombs (literally). Statute of Limitations applies to my other activities, 
>> but will only mention there were many.
>>
>> For me and my cohort, the forces that malformed government, and thereby 
>> society, began, in earnest, in the mid-1930s. Government became an 
>> instrument for forcing people to conform their behavior and their beliefs in 
>> accordance with the ideals of whoever was in power. Did not matter what 
>> "side" (democrat, republican, plutocrat) the power brokers belonged to, all 
>> had the same basic goal, control everyone else. (And get rich of course)
>>
>> "Anarchy was loosed upon the world," here in the US around 100 years ago and 
>> the wasteland we inhabit is vast. Trump is a mere dust devil disturbing bits 
>> of detritus.
>>
>> davew
>>
>> On Mon, Apr 21, 2025, at 12:48 AM, Jochen Fromm wrote:
>>
>>      Marcus, your reply makes me wonder if you have voted for the orange guy 
>> in the White House. If yes, would you do it again? Here from Europe it looks 
>> as if the orange menace leaves a trail of destruction on his way between the 
>> Golf Club in West Palm Beach and Washington and back. To use a 
>> meteorological metaphor for Nick: the guy who is wearing orange makeup acts 
>> like a tornado out of control that destroys everything in his path - the 
>> economy, the retirement savings, and the last remains of the American dream.
>>
>>      -J.
>>
>>      -------- Original message --------
>>
>>      From: Marcus Daniels <mar...@snoutfarm.com 
>> <mailto:mar...@snoutfarm.com>>
>>
>>      Date: 4/20/25 6:58 PM (GMT+01:00)
>>
>>      To: The Friday Morning Applied Complexity Coffee Group 
>> <friam@redfish.com <mailto:friam@redfish.com>>
>>
>>      Subject: Re: [FRIAM] The broken American Dream
>>
>>      It seems to me to be a little more scale free than that.   I just paid 
>> my quarterly taxes.   The thing that bothers me is not that it a significant 
>> cost, but that it is not a responsible spending plan.  I am pouring money 
>> into a Medicare program that is becoming insolvent and creating increasing 
>> deficit spending.   It seems to me that if my taxes are 5% higher, that’s 
>> fine if it fixes the problem.   But many won’t step up to that 5%, so my 
>> reaction to those people is:  Let’s let this thing fail.   Private insurance 
>> it is.   I am now much more inclined to aggressively write off business 
>> expenses than see my productivity go a losing enterprise.   I am sick of 
>> cheap people.
>>
>>      *From: *Friam <friam-boun...@redfish.com 
>> <mailto:friam-boun...@redfish.com>> on behalf of Jochen Fromm 
>> <j...@cas-group.net <mailto:j...@cas-group.net>>
>>      *Date: *Sunday, April 20, 2025 at 7:47 AM
>>      *To: *The Friday Morning Applied Complexity Coffee Group 
>> <friam@redfish.com <mailto:friam@redfish.com>>
>>      *Subject: *[FRIAM] The broken American Dream
>>
>>      Stephen Marche's article about the state of America leaves me with the 
>> impression that the only thing that all Americans still have in common is 
>> the feeling that the country is broken. Stephen writes:
>>
>>      "The country clubs are rife with men and women, in incredible luxury, 
>> complaining bitterly about the state of the country. The richest and most 
>> powerful, the Americans who have won, who have everything, are still not 
>> happy, and why? Their answer is that the American dream must be broken."
>>
>>      
>> https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/ng-interactive/2025/apr/20/american-dream-trump-canada
>>  
>> <https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/ng-interactive/2025/apr/20/american-dream-trump-canada>
>>
>>      -J.
>>
-- 
¡sıɹƎ ןıɐH ⊥ ɐןןǝdoɹ ǝ uǝןƃ
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