Colleagues,

What follows is a repost of Radoslav's 16 December 2009 posting to the list,
without the original photos.  I'm sending it again without the photos in
order to get it into the list archives (photos apparently prompt the
archiver to reject the message -- who knew?)

Yours,
Michael Maniates

---------- Forwarded message ----------
From: Radoslav Dimitrov <radoslav.dimit...@uwo.ca>
Date: Wed, Dec 16, 2009 at 9:31 AM
Subject: Copenhagen update Dec. 16 15:30 pm
To: Global Environmental Politics Education ListServe <
gep-ed@listserve1.allegheny.edu>




UPDATE EXCLUDES POLITICALLY SENSITIVE INFORMATION
PLEASE DO NOT "REPLY TO ALL"

Dear colleagues,

Starting today, access to the global conference is severely restricted. Only
4 people from each government delegation is allowed in the high-level
segment with special silver passes. The Brazilian delegation is 900 people!
Only 90 (ninety) of the thousands from civil society are allowed. Protests
and clashes with police are raging outside, and public transportation to the
Bella center was cancelled – due to “crowd control”. I walked on foot but
even government delegates were not allowed in the Bella Center for two hours
– at least 300 of us were waiting in the cold before police let us in.
 Attached photos I took within last 12 hours.

As royalty and heads of states are making speeches, negotiations have ground
to a halt. This morning, the conference president Connie Hedegaard resigned.
Formal expert negotiations on the Kyoto Protocol finished late last night.
The group failed to resolve differences and many delegations said the text
is not suitable to give to ministers. Disagreements include baseline year,
length of Kyoto II, and approach to fixing country obligations (top-down
versus bottom-up approach). This morning they asked the Plenary for one
extra day. Everyone is frantic to give heads of state something to adopt.

The second negotiations track, on global long-term cooperation, is even
worse. After two years of work, they had no text to present to COP this
morning. During the night there was a 6-hour delay with everyone waiting
around, developing countries huddled in the corner for consultations (see my
photos attached). Major differences on level of ambition and division of
labor. Among the many conflicts are whether to limit global temperature rise
to 1.5 or 2 degrees; cut emissions by 50 or 80-95% by 2050; and whether to
demand developing countries to report all their voluntary actions in a
registry - or only those funded internationally. One South American country
proposed 100% cuts by developed countries by 2040.

At night, the US rejected the draft text. Reasons: they object to aggregate
emission cuts from industrialized countries (broadly supported 25-40%) and
prefer individual national targets. the US also insists on common elements
on reporting actions to apply uniformly to both developing and developed
countries. On finance, Mexico and Norway who tabled the main proposals for
international climate finance, objected that the text does not fully reflect
their proposals. The meeting resumed at 4:45 am – and concluded the entire
text is “unfinished business.”

Last night, Saudi Arabia described Copenhagen as already a success - a
telling reflection on the state of affairs.

Best,
 Radoslav S. Dimitrov, Ph.D.
Associate Professor
Department of Political Science
University of Western Ontario
Social Science Centre
London, Ontario
Canada N6A 5C2
Tel. +1(519) 661-2111 ext. 85023
Fax +1(519) 661-3904
Email: rdimi...@uwo.ca

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