Dear Lincoln Residents,

Hi again, this is Peter Buchthal and I am running for one of the two open
Lincoln School Committee spot. In my previous email, I showed everyone data
that a high percentage of Lincoln Parents of school age children are
dissatisfied and have withdrawn their children from the school district.
Lincoln loses students, more than our neighboring communities.    Until we
dig a bit deeper, we won’t know the reasons.

I have written previously on Lincoln Talk about how small the Lincoln Class
size compares to many of our well performing peer communities like Weston.
When I came to Lincoln 10 years ago before the birth of my eldest, my
broker and the locals I met said the school is small and we are incredibly
lucky to have such small class sizes.   Now that my children are all a bit
older and in 3rd, 2nd and Kindergarten, I am starting to challenge that
premise.  On Thursday, I wrote  that I grew up in one of the best public
schools in the nation.  They paid their teachers really well and got the
best.  I fondly remember my 3rd grade teacher, Mr. Shoe (Shoemaker), my 5th
grade teacher Mr. Gosen,  and many others.  They were simply amazing.

I believe we should spend generously in our school to ensure that every
student reaches his or her full potential. However, I am partial to
spending resources thoughtfully. We have been making active policy choices
that lead to a cost per student at least 25% higher than our peers based on
DESE data.  Unfortunately, these policy choices are not providing us any
visible advantage versus our neighboring towns. In fact, rather the
opposite, judging by last spring’s survey results (and our latest winter
iReady results: 38%, or more than 1 out of three students in the Lincoln
campus has “Relative overall placement is one or more grade levels
behind”.  In a future post, I will discuss a potential action plan that
needs to be considered based upon our recent iReady results.

Let’s zoom in on class sizes. Our current policy was apparently established
by a study
<https://www.lincnet.org/site/handlers/filedownload.ashx?moduleinstanceid=4978&dataid=10863&FileName=5.5.CSRC%20Final%20Report.pdf>
conducted
in 2015 by a Class Size Research Committee appointed by the Lincoln School
Committee. That Committee endorsed small class sizes. The Committee based
its conclusions on a 1980’s study conducted in Tennessee (project STAR),
which had class sizes of 15 students rather than a more standard 22.
Lincoln has since then had average class sizes that are approximately equal
to those recommended by project STAR.

If small class sizes are truly so superior why aren’t more towns taking
this approach? Well, according to the Massachusetts Department of Education
(DOE), the small class size advantage is a costly myth. In particular,
project Star has been replicated in modern studies with disappointing
results. I will just copy paste their paper’s key findings:
<https://www.doe.mass.edu/research/reports/2017/12class-size.docx>

*Small classes are popular, but evidence of their positive impact on
student outcomes is disappointing—and the choices districts make about
class size have real, though often hidden, costs. This policy brief
explicitly aims to help inform district class size choices by summarizing
the research evidence on class size and putting those findings into the
Massachusetts context.*

*In this brief, we highlight findings from the research literature on class
size:*

§  *Early evidence from the Tennessee STAR experiment (the same study the
Town of Lincoln used to base their small class policy) was promising, but
studies using other data and settings more similar to the current education
policy context suggest little effect.*

§  *Most modern studies show much smaller impacts than the STAR experiment
or no effects at all.*

§  *Little convincing evidence in the current educational context shows
that small classes generate greater improvements in student outcomes for
black or low-income students.*

§  *Reducing class size can have unanticipated negative impacts on average
teacher quality.*



So after all, we may be spending all those resources for naught. It sounds
like we are shooting ourselves in the foot by spreading ourselves thin and
as result compromising our average teacher quality and our ability to
supplement our school’s offerings.

How do we sort out this mess? We need to start a dialogue with the new
Superintendent and identify all of our policy choices.  I am not suggesting
we start axing teachers. The first thing we need to do is to stop hiring
additional staff. The outgoing Administration appears hungry to add to its
numbers and is proposing we add another 2.5 FTEs for next year (page 28).
<https://www.lincnet.org/site/handlers/filedownload.ashx?moduleinstanceid=11409&dataid=26412&FileName=8.1.1%20FY24%20Lincoln%20Public%20Schools%20Preliminary%20Budget%20book2022.11.28.pdf>
Having
stopped or delayed the hiring, we need to rethink how we deploy our
resources. An obvious intervention that needs to happen is to bring the
number of classrooms down to three in the middle school grades. We can use
those resources to provide incremental offerings, which should lead to
higher student engagement. In a few years, natural attrition of retiring
teachers and low performers will bring us back in-line with our peers with
superior results.

It is worth mentioning that our debunked class size policy is partly
responsible for our decision to build a school that is much more generous
than our needs. Our new school
<https://www.ewingcole.com/portfolio_page/ballfield-road-campus/> was built
for 650-660 students
<https://lincolnsbc.org/wp-content/uploads/2018/04/Compiled_Ed-Programs_2018-0424.pdf>,
which is 20% more than our current enrollment.  Except for this year’s 4th
grade, today's school enrollment
<https://www.lincnet.org/site/handlers/filedownload.ashx?moduleinstanceid=11404&dataid=26127&FileName=Enrollment-22Oct01.pdf>
easily supports 3 sections per grade with an approximate average size of
less than 20.   Our school was built with 4 classrooms in each grade even
though we currently require four classrooms in only the 4th grade.  Having
an extra classroom in each grade that is only needed once every ten years
is truly excessive and suboptimal.   As built, I would argue that the
school could house a lot more students than the architects 650 estimate.
We have 4 sections per grade plus added underused hub spaces which is the
size of an additional classroom in grades 3 thru 8 which comes to 924 ((4
sections per grade x 9 grades x 22 students per grad) + (6 hubs x
22students )) = 924). In fact, based on Massachusetts School Building
Authority guidelines
<https://www.massschoolbuildings.org/sites/default/files/edit-contentfiles/About_Us/Roundtables/Designer/DRT_Mar_2017_Presentationl.pdf>
(page
36), *our 165,000 sqft school
<https://www.ewingcole.com/portfolio_page/ballfield-road-campus/> is large
enough to house 1,000 students (165 square feet per student), almost twice
as many as we actually do.  We would have shaved tens of millions of
dollars off our $97M school
<https://lincolnsbc.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/01/2023-01-11-LPS-SBC-Presentation-DPI_final_Rev.pdf>
if
we had only adopted generally accepted practices on class size.  *
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