I re-confirmed the fix using the upgrader tarball for noble-proposed:

I have verified using the upgrader tarball for noble-proposed:

root@j:~# wget 
http://archive.ubuntu.com/ubuntu/dists/noble-proposed/main/dist-upgrader-all/24.04.18/noble.tar.gz
--2024-05-16 13:41:34--  
http://archive.ubuntu.com/ubuntu/dists/noble-proposed/main/dist-upgrader-all/24.04.18/noble.tar.gz
Resolving archive.ubuntu.com (archive.ubuntu.com)... 91.189.91.82, 
185.125.190.39, 91.189.91.81, ...
Connecting to archive.ubuntu.com (archive.ubuntu.com)|91.189.91.82|:80... 
connected.
HTTP request sent, awaiting response... 200 OK
Length: 1274850 (1.2M) [application/x-gzip]
Saving to: ‘noble.tar.gz’

noble.tar.gz
100%[================================================>]   1.21M
1.50MB/s    in 0.8s

2024-05-16 13:41:35 (1.50 MB/s) - ‘noble.tar.gz’ saved [1274850/1274850]

root@j:~# tar xf noble.tar.gz 
root@j:~# apt install netfilter-persistent iptables-persistent -y
Reading package lists... Done
Building dependency tree... Done
Reading state information... Done
The following NEW packages will be installed:
  iptables-persistent netfilter-persistent
0 upgraded, 2 newly installed, 0 to remove and 0 not upgraded.
Need to get 13.9 kB of archives.
After this operation, 93.2 kB of additional disk space will be used.
Get:1 http://archive.ubuntu.com/ubuntu jammy/universe amd64 
netfilter-persistent all 1.0.16 [7440 B]
Get:2 http://archive.ubuntu.com/ubuntu jammy/universe amd64 iptables-persistent 
all 1.0.16 [6488 B]
Fetched 13.9 kB in 1s (17.8 kB/s)             
Preconfiguring packages ...
Selecting previously unselected package netfilter-persistent.
(Reading database ... 33926 files and directories currently installed.)
Preparing to unpack .../netfilter-persistent_1.0.16_all.deb ...
Unpacking netfilter-persistent (1.0.16) ...
Selecting previously unselected package iptables-persistent.
Preparing to unpack .../iptables-persistent_1.0.16_all.deb ...
Unpacking iptables-persistent (1.0.16) ...
Setting up netfilter-persistent (1.0.16) ...
Created symlink 
/etc/systemd/system/multi-user.target.wants/netfilter-persistent.service → 
/lib/systemd/system/netfilte
r-persistent.service.
Setting up iptables-persistent (1.0.16) ...
update-alternatives: using /lib/systemd/system/netfilter-persistent.service to 
provide /lib/systemd/system/iptables.ser
vice (iptables.service) in auto mode
Processing triggers for man-db (2.10.2-1) ...
Scanning processes...                                                           
                                       

No services need to be restarted.

No containers need to be restarted.

No user sessions are running outdated binaries.

No VM guests are running outdated hypervisor (qemu) binaries on this host.
root@j:~# apt policy ufw iptables-persistent netfilter-persistent
ufw:
  Installed: 0.36.1-4ubuntu0.1
  Candidate: 0.36.1-4ubuntu0.1
  Version table:
 *** 0.36.1-4ubuntu0.1 500
        500 http://archive.ubuntu.com/ubuntu jammy-updates/main amd64 Packages
        100 /var/lib/dpkg/status
     0.36.1-4build1 500
        500 http://archive.ubuntu.com/ubuntu jammy/main amd64 Packages
iptables-persistent:
  Installed: 1.0.16
  Candidate: 1.0.16
  Version table:
 *** 1.0.16 500
        500 http://archive.ubuntu.com/ubuntu jammy/universe amd64 Packages
        100 /var/lib/dpkg/status
netfilter-persistent:
  Installed: 1.0.16
  Candidate: 1.0.16
  Version table:
 *** 1.0.16 500
        500 http://archive.ubuntu.com/ubuntu jammy/universe amd64 Packages
        100 /var/lib/dpkg/status
root@j:~# ./noble --frontend DistUpgradeViewNonInteractive
[ ... upgrading ... ]
root@j:~# apt policy ufw iptables-persistent netfilter-persistent
ufw:
  Installed: (none)
  Candidate: 0.36.2-6
  Version table:
     0.36.2-6 500
        500 http://archive.ubuntu.com/ubuntu noble/main amd64 Packages
     0.36.1-4ubuntu0.1 -1
        100 /var/lib/dpkg/status
iptables-persistent:
  Installed: 1.0.20
  Candidate: 1.0.20
  Version table:
 *** 1.0.20 500
        500 http://archive.ubuntu.com/ubuntu noble/universe amd64 Packages
        100 /var/lib/dpkg/status
netfilter-persistent:
  Installed: 1.0.20
  Candidate: 1.0.20
  Version table:
 *** 1.0.20 500
        500 http://archive.ubuntu.com/ubuntu noble/universe amd64 Packages
        100 /var/lib/dpkg/status


** Tags removed: verification-needed verification-needed-noble
** Tags added: verification-done verification-done-noble

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https://bugs.launchpad.net/bugs/2061891

Title:
  Noble upgrade breaks iptables-persistent and netfilter-persistent
  usage

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