>From what I understand when it comes to Presidential polling, the big differences are likely voter models, guesses on turnout amongst demographics and whether or not they "lean" on undecideds, trying to get them to give a preference.
Like Gallup has two likely voter models this election. One uses a traditional method that says if you didn't vote in the last presidential election, you won't be counted as a likely voter in this one, no matter how enthusiastic you say you are. The other likely voter model counts everyone that says "yes, I plan on voting". Those two models are showing significant differences in their results. Judah On Thu, Oct 23, 2008 at 3:52 PM, Maureen <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote: > I spend a substantial portion of my life working with statistics. You > can get a poll to say anything, depending on how the questions are > phrased and how you weight the results. > > This site is good because it looks at all of them and seems to have no > partisan bias. > > http://www.realclearpolitics.com/polls/ > > But personally, I could care less what the polls say. ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~| Adobe® ColdFusion® 8 software 8 is the most important and dramatic release to date Get the Free Trial http://ad.doubleclick.net/clk;207172674;29440083;f Archive: http://www.houseoffusion.com/groups/cf-community/message.cfm/messageid:276303 Subscription: http://www.houseoffusion.com/groups/cf-community/subscribe.cfm Unsubscribe: http://www.houseoffusion.com/cf_lists/unsubscribe.cfm?user=11502.10531.5
