New York Times
December 14, 2004

MADE ELSEWHERE
Bangladesh Is Surviving to Export another Day
By Keith Bradsher

DHAKA, Bangladesh - Not long ago, garment makers in the world's 
poorest countries were in utter dismay, fearing that the long-planned 
abolition of global trade quotas for textiles and apparel next month 
would wipe out their factories and send millions of jobs to more 
competitive operations in China. The International Monetary Fund 
warned that a quarter of Bangladesh's exports and 2.3 million jobs 
here could evaporate next year, shaking the entire economy.

So why, then, is Abu Taher tripling his work force, adding five 
floors to his cotton trousers factory here? And why is Annisul Huq, 
just down the road, hiring 2,000 more workers and building two new 
factories - adding to the eight he already has - to churn out more 
shirts and sweaters for Calvin Klein, Van Heusen and others?

It turns out that the outlook for the textile and apparel makers here 
and elsewhere is not as bleak as many experts had thought, at least 
for the bigger, more up-to-date factories in developing countries, 
especially those like Bangladesh and Pakistan with large, low-wage 
work forces. "Retailers are asking for better factories, more 
volume," said Mr. Huq, who got a master's degree in economics and did 
a stint in television before he started his apparel-making business. 
"I do not foresee immediately an earthquake in 2005."

[In an additional nod to countries like Bangladesh, China said on 
Sunday that it would tax clothing exports to stem excessive growth 
next year. And if that is not enough, the Bush administration is 
prepared to further limit Chinese imports.

Still, the end to decades of textile and clothing quotas on Jan. 1 is 
beginning to spin the economics of the developing world around and 
around. The expiration of the quotas is intended to allow for 
free-flowing trade in garment making. It used to be that by 
guaranteeing a certain level of clothing production from nearly every 
poor country in the world, quotas became a classic engine for just 
about every less-developed country with cheap labor and low skills to 
connect effectively with the global economy. 

But now, without quotas to ensure access, quality and modernity will 
count as much, if not more, than low wages. Poor countries will have 
to compete on the scale and skill of their factories and on the 
efficiency of their roads, ports and electrical grids. Most of the 
cost of clothing lies not in the labor but in the logistics of moving 
it to stores for sale, so low manufacturing wages by themselves are 
not enough.

Of the typical $48 to $54 for delivering a dozen long-sleeve men's 
shirts to Bangladesh's main port, for example, most goes for the 
fabric, often imported from China. Just $5 goes to the foreman, 
technicians and assembly workers, who earn as little as 70 cents a 
day.

Yet, the savings on labor costs here and in some other developing 
countries are enough to keep retailers from switching suppliers for 
now.

"Our policy is to take a conservative position; we will continue to 
source from where we have been sourcing," Andrew Tsuei, Wal-Mart's 
vice president for global purchasing, said in an interview before the 
Chinese announcement. "Bangladesh is very competitive because the 
labor cost in Bangladesh is only half of what China is, and maybe 
less than that."

But in the longer run, the survival of the garment industry in 
Bangladesh and other developing countries depends upon how well 
governments respond to the demands of the global market. That will be 
affected, in part, by how much they invest in roads, ports and 
electricity grids; in the past, such infrastructure has been starved 
of investment here and elsewhere.

Small factories and their workers are the most vulnerable. Less than 
two miles from Mr. Huq's main factory, Shirin Akhter sat recently on 
a low wooden sleeping platform in her dirt-floored shack in one of 
this city's worst slums.

She lost her $15-a-month, full-time job in a pants factory a year ago 
and has been unable to find similar work. That wage, tiny as it was, 
was still significant in a country where workers rent shacks for 
$6.75 a month. She now juggles two jobs as a housemaid while her 
husband searches for temporary work at construction sites.

"I can barely live here, sometimes I cannot eat regularly," she said, 
cradling her 2-year-old son, Rifat.

The garment industry has drawn literally millions of women out of 
villages into large cities in poor countries around the world. For 
deeply traditional countries like Bangladesh, where girls who leave 
their villages are seldom welcomed back, the globalization of trade 
in apparel and textiles has helped transform a way of life unchanged 
for generations.

"It is a silent revolution that has taken place in our country," said 
Morshed Khan, the foreign minister of Bangladesh, one of the few 
democracies in the Muslim world. "For the first time in a Muslim 
country, hundreds of thousands of women in their late teens and early 
20's are wearing cosmetics, carrying handbags and walking to work 
every day.

"There is no way in Bangladesh" he added, "that this government or 
any other government can send them back to the kitchen."

Just a few months ago, it seemed unlikely that Bangladesh could avoid 
that fate. But now the future seems a little brighter.

Here in Dhaka, Mr. Huq became a clothing magnate in much the same way 
Bangladesh became an international power in the garment industry: 
largely by luck.

The son of a senior civil servant, he earned a master's degree in 
economics, only to find himself jobless for two years. It was the 
late 1970's, and the country was struggling to recover from a 
devastating war of independence from Pakistan and the subsequent 
nationalization of many industries across Bangladesh.

"I was an unemployed man," he said, "and there are millions of 
unemployed men in this country."

Mr. Huq became the host of a variety show, and stumbled into some 
luck when he opened a door too quickly and hit a stranger who turned 
out to be Noorul Quader. Mr. Quader was a civil servant who had just 
negotiated agreements that allowed desperately poor Bangladesh to 
start exporting garments without facing any serious quotas.

Mr. Quader had started a garment manufacturing business himself, and 
Mr. Huq went to work for him for $200 a month. A year later, Mr. Huq 
left and started his own business with two friends and $1,700 that he 
borrowed from his father. As Bangladesh's garment exports grew from 
$32 million to $5.9 billion in the last two decades, his business 
grew, too.

He now lives in a three-story, impeccably decorated post-modern 
mansion and is chauffeured through Bangladesh's polluted, congested 
streets in a black BMW X5 sport utility vehicle.

Mr. Huq's spacious, well-ventilated and well-lighted factories are 
designed to appeal to multinationals concerned about protecting their 
image from criticisms that they are exploiting workers in poor 
countries. The factories are fully booked with orders from brands 
like Calvin Klein and Van Heusen through next August, so he is 
building two more.

Yet Mr. Huq still worries. His workers earn $15 to $85 a month, 
sometimes more, based on output. That gives him an advantage over 
Chinese factories that pay their workers $50 a month and up and also 
cover housing and food costs. But balancing the lower wages here are 
formidable disadvantages.

One problem lies in the hartals, national strikes called by political 
factions at short notice that can shut down almost all activity for 
one to three days. There have been 20 hartals in the last year, and 
even that is a decrease from recent years.

The biggest problem for Mr. Huq and other clothing makers here is 
Bangladesh's state-owned port in Chittagong. Studies have ranked it 
last or close to last in the world in turnaround time for big 
container ships. The ships must anchor in deep water offshore and 
then be unloaded and loaded by ancient, state-owned feeder vessels 
with shallow drafts.

Yet Mr. Huq's large factories have overcome these obstacles, 
sometimes even operating on Friday, the Islamic holy day, to meet 
deadlines.

"There are some concerns which need to be cured - you cannot change a 
bureaucracy overnight," Mr. Huq said. "We work overnight, we work 
Fridays, we work holidays, we ship the goods."

But if Bangladesh does not move quickly to raise the country's 
competitiveness, it will soon wind up with more unemployed workers 
living hand-to-mouth in slums like Banshtola.

Ms. Akhter moved here from her village four years ago, finding work 
as a "helper" in a small factory making short pants for men and boys. 
She used to clip stray threads after a more skilled worker sewed the 
pants.

But she lost the job a year ago when her employer ran low on orders. 
She has been unable to find new work, while her husband has cast 
about, unsuccessfully, for construction work. They rely on occasional 
profits from selling vegetables.

Banshtola is filled with tiny shacks, with corrugated steel roofs and 
walls that are simple bamboo mats, often riddled with holes. The 
monthly rent is $6.75, there is no running water, and the toilet is a 
hole in the ground at the end of one of the dirt alleys, which turn 
to mud during the rainy season.

Workers are often plagued by disease and malnutrition. And in the 
last two years, mosquitoes have brought an epidemic of dengue fever, 
which is sometimes fatal.

Ms. Akhter is resigned to her difficulties. But she looks on with a 
touch of jealousy at the new class of money-earners, women like 
Muhamad Zulekha, 27, a sweater factory worker whose nimble fingers 
allow her to earn $85 a month. She says that her husband now listens 
to her more because she can work outside the home and earn real money.

Until the infrastructure improves greatly, the burden still falls on 
cheap workers like Ms. Zulekha - and even Ms. Akhter when she was 
working - to give an edge to Bangladesh's factories, particularly if 
the country wants to keep a toehold as the quota system disappears.

Indeed, big international buyers and manufacturers have proved leery 
of relying too heavily on a single country like China, seeing greater 
security in diversity. Top Form, a Hong Kong company that is the 
world's largest bra manufacturer, has decided to make no change to 
its longstanding policy of keeping 55 percent of its production in 
China and 45 percent in Thailand and the Philippines.

"Unless we see a more strengthened trade relationship between China 
and the United States," Willie Fung, the chairman of Top Form, said, 
"we would not want to put all our eggs in one basket,"

Fearful governments in other developing countries are showing rare 
bursts of energy, addressing long-festering problems in the hope of 
saving their clothing makers. Bangladesh plans to train 40,000 
garment workers next year to improve their skills in conjunction with 
BRAC, a local nonprofit group formerly known as the Bangladesh Rural 
Advancement Committee, and is eliminating taxes on electricity and 
other utilities used by garment factories.

But smaller or less populous developing countries like Brunei and 
Mongolia, and small factories practically everywhere, may still face 
serious losses. Executives at Wal-Mart, the world's largest retailer, 
say that they are likely to cut purchases from Fiji, Brunei, 
Turkmenistan and Macedonia, but plan to keep buying from the rest, 
and will actually increase their purchases next year from Bangladesh, 
their biggest single supplier of clothing, exceeding even China.

Bangladesh and other very poor countries have been lobbying 
Washington to grant them duty-free access to the American market. The 
$1.7 billion a year in apparel exports from Bangladesh to the United 
States currently face an average levy of 16 percent, or nearly $300 
million a year, a burden that dwarfs the less than $70 million a year 
that the United States gives Bangladesh in foreign aid.

Women here have few alternatives to the garment industry if anything 
goes wrong. A slump in orders during the American economic slowdown 
in 2001 produced a surge in prostitution and a surge in the illegal 
trafficking of women to overseas brothels. Bangladesh officials fear 
what could happen if their country cannot stay competitive.

"If we try to take the women workers back to the home, back to the 
kitchen," Mr. Khan said, "that will be a bigger bombshell than any 
terrorist attack."


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