Re: [FRIAM] A Good Question - Should the United States join OPEC?

2012-02-29 Thread David Mirly
I'm not sure this statement is correct…"natural gas is an input into gasoline 
refining (cracking the hydrocarbons)"

I don't think natural gas and crude oil refining typically, if ever, intersect. 
 A crude oil refinery (which, of course, makes gasoline among other things) has 
only crude oil as it's main input.  

Now refineries differ from one another greatly in size and capabilities but I 
have never heard of natural gas being used in the gasoline manufacture process.





On Feb 29, 2012, at 10:55 AM, q...@aol.com wrote:

> Greetings, all --
> 
> "Gasland" is on my list, but in the meantime, I know that natural gas is an 
> input into gasoline refining (cracking the hydrocarbons) and with natural gas 
> at (artificially?) low prices, our overall cost for refining gasoline in the 
> US is competitive worldwide. We're also the biggest user of gasoline (the 
> fuel mix in other countries focuses more on diesel), which means we have 
> competitively priced refined gasoline in general, and a bit of extra supply 
> in particular at the moment. The annual switchover of winter to summer 
> gasoline has been complicated by some scheduled maintenance and shut-downs at 
> various refineries, leading to a more pronounced annual spike than usual. Oh, 
> and there's the Straits of Hormuz thing...
> 
> My $0.02,
> 
> - Claiborne Booker -
> 
> 
> -Original Message-
> From: Hugh Trenchard 
> To: The Friday Morning Applied Complexity Coffee Group 
> Sent: Wed, Feb 29, 2012 10:12 am
> Subject: Re: [FRIAM] A Good Question - Should the United States join OPEC?
> 
> Thanks for responding. Of course with natural gas, the first thing comes to 
> my mind is "Gasland'.  But I suppose if some ot those environmental issues 
> can be brought under control, natural gas seems like it will be a big 
> economic driver for a while.
> - Original Message -
> From: Joshua Thorp
> To: The Friday Morning Applied Complexity Coffee Group
> Sent: Tuesday, February 28, 2012 8:01 PM
> Subject: Re: [FRIAM] A Good Question - Should the United States join OPEC?
> 
> This sounds right to me.  There is a lot of finger wagging at Iran for not 
> having domestic capacity for petroleum refinement even though they are a 
> crude exporter.  So I guess capacity works both ways.  The other thing I know 
> is currently a hot topic is natural gas production.  I believe the US has 
> increased its production quite a bit lately and is likely to have a lot more 
> in the future.
> 
> 
> On Feb 28, 2012, at 8:40 PM, Hugh Trenchard wrote:
> 
>> Just as a brief follow up, it seems to me one of the major factors in this 
>> is that U.S. refining capacity has increased so that there is less need to 
>> import refined petroleum products.  I haven't researched this in any detail 
>> and I stand to be corrected on all my assertions, but it seems to me it's 
>> not as though there are any new sources of US domestic supply or significant 
>> increase in technological ability to extract previously hard to obtain oil, 
>> and likely only marginal reduction in demand. There may be some, but my 
>> thought is the hype on this is rather misleading.  Again I don't have the 
>> figures, but my guess is that the vast majority of US crude imports likely 
>> still come from Canada, Mexico, and other western hemisphere nations, which 
>> the U.S. refining companies refine and re-sell as petroleum products, both 
>> for domestic use and to export abroad.
>>  
>> The link below shows some of the definitions used in the petroleum/fuels 
>> industry. From my skeptical standpoint, the hype could mislead the American 
>> public toward a false sense of security.  I suppose if it stimulates the 
>> economy, then that's good, but if it gets people guzzling more gas, then 
>> it's really just a fool's game.
>>  
>> http://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/TblDefs/pet_move_imp_tbldef2.asp
>>  
>> From the link: "Petroleum products are obtained from the processing of crude 
>> oil (including lease condensate), natural gas, and other hydrocarbon 
>> compounds. Petroleum products include unfinished oils, liquefied petroleum 
>> gases, pentanes plus, aviation gasoline, motor gasoline, naphtha-type jet 
>> fuel, kerosene-type jet fuel, kerosene, distillate fuel oil, residual fuel 
>> oil, petrochemical feedstocks, special naphthas, lubricants, waxes, 
>> petroleum coke, asphalt, road oil, still gas, and miscellaneous products."
>> - Original Message -
>> From: Russ Abbott
>> To: The Friday Morning Applied Complexity Coffee Group
>> Cc: Hugh Trenchard
>> Sent: Monda

Re: [FRIAM] A Good Question - Should the United States join OPEC?

2012-02-29 Thread qef
Greetings, all --


"Gasland" is on my list, but in the meantime, I know that natural gas is an 
input into gasoline refining (cracking the hydrocarbons) and with natural gas 
at (artificially?) low prices, our overall cost for refining gasoline in the US 
is competitive worldwide. We're also the biggest user of gasoline (the fuel mix 
in other countries focuses more on diesel), which means we have competitively 
priced refined gasoline in general, and a bit of extra supply in particular at 
the moment. The annual switchover of winter to summer gasoline has been 
complicated by some scheduled maintenance and shut-downs at various refineries, 
leading to a more pronounced annual spike than usual. Oh, and there's the 
Straits of Hormuz thing...


My $0.02,


- Claiborne Booker -



-Original Message-
From: Hugh Trenchard 
To: The Friday Morning Applied Complexity Coffee Group 
Sent: Wed, Feb 29, 2012 10:12 am
Subject: Re: [FRIAM] A Good Question - Should the United States join OPEC?


Thanks for responding. Of course with natural gas, the first thing comes to my 
mind is "Gasland'.  But I suppose if some ot those environmental issues can be 
brought under control, natural gas seems like it will be a big economic driver 
for a while.
  
- Original Message - 
  
From:   Joshua Thorp   
  
To: The Friday Morning Applied Complexity Coffee   Group 
  
Sent: Tuesday, February 28, 2012 8:01   PM
  
Subject: Re: [FRIAM] A Good Question -   Should the United States join OPEC?
  


This sounds right to me.  There is a lot of finger wagging   at Iran for not 
having domestic capacity for petroleum refinement even though   they are a 
crude exporter.  So I guess capacity works both ways.The other thing I know 
is currently a hot topic is natural gas   production.  I believe the US has 
increased its production quite a bit   lately and is likely to have a lot more 
in the future.  


  

  
  
On Feb 28, 2012, at 8:40 PM, Hugh Trenchard wrote:

  


Just as a brief follow up, it seems to me one of the major factors in this 
is that U.S. refining capacity has increased so that there is less need to 
import refined petroleum products.  I haven't researched this in any detail 
and I stand to be corrected on all my assertions, but it seems to me it's 
not as though there are any new sources of US domestic supply or 
significant increase in technological ability to extract previously hard to 
obtain oil, and likely only marginal reduction in demand. There may be 
some, but my thought is the hype on this is rather misleading.  Again I 
don't have the figures, but my guess is that the vast majority of US crude 
imports likely still come from Canada, Mexico, and other western hemisphere 
nations, which the U.S. refining companies refine and re-sell as petroleum 
products, both for domestic use and to export abroad.

 

The link below shows some of the definitions used in the petroleum/fuels 
industry. From my skeptical standpoint, the hype could mislead the American 
public toward a false sense of security.  I suppose if it stimulates the 
economy, then that's good, but if it gets people guzzling more gas, then 
it's really just a fool's game.

 

http://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/TblDefs/pet_move_imp_tbldef2.asp

 

>From the link: "Petroleum products are obtained from the processing of 
>crude oil (including lease condensate), natural gas, and other hydrocarbon 
>compounds. Petroleum products include unfinished oils, liquefied petroleum 
>gases, pentanes plus, aviation gasoline, motor gasoline, naphtha-type jet 
>fuel, kerosene-type jet fuel, kerosene, distillate fuel oil, residual fuel 
>oil, petrochemical feedstocks, special naphthas, lubricants, waxes, 
>petroleum coke, asphalt, road oil, still gas, and miscellaneous products."

  
- Original Message -
  
From: Russ Abbott
  
To: The Friday Morning Applied Complexity   Coffee Group
  
Cc: Hugh Trenchard
  
Sent: Monday, February 27, 2012 7:47   PM
  
Subject: Re: [FRIAM] A Good Question -   Should the United States join OPEC?
  


  
We exported more petroleum products, not   more oil. We are still net oil 
importers.
  
  
 
  
-- Russ Abbott
_  
  Professor, Computer Science
California State University, Los Angeles

  Google   voice: 747-999-5105
  
  Google+: https://plus.google.com/114865618166480775623/
  
  vita:  http://sites.google.com/site/russabbott/
_ 





  
On Mon, Feb 27, 2012 at 7:42 PM, Owen Densmore  wrote:
  

>From 
>http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2011/05/03/us-becomes-net-exporter-o_n_857085.html

  
While 

Re: [FRIAM] A Good Question - Should the United States join OPEC?

2012-02-29 Thread Arlo Barnes
Gasland was an excellent movie. It's point was that gas is not the clean
fuel it advertises to be, it just shifts some (not even all) of it's impact
from when it is used by the consumer to when it is extracted. It is not
just fracking, although of course that worsens things; gas drilling is just
a disruptive activity by itself. And the film also emphasized that the gas
companies are irresponsible, not out for our interests, and so will not
bother to find more ecologically sound practices. The best way, it seems,
to make our energy environmentally conscious (so to speak) is to produce it
ourselves, and the easiest way to do that is to use small renewable
stations like solar, or perhaps a small wind/water turbine. Or polywells, I
suppose, if they ever take off.
-Arlo James Barnes

FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv
Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College
lectures, archives, unsubscribe, maps at http://www.friam.org

Re: [FRIAM] A Good Question - Should the United States join OPEC?

2012-02-29 Thread Hugh Trenchard
Thanks for responding. Of course with natural gas, the first thing comes to my 
mind is "Gasland'.  But I suppose if some ot those environmental issues can be 
brought under control, natural gas seems like it will be a big economic driver 
for a while.
  - Original Message - 
  From: Joshua Thorp 
  To: The Friday Morning Applied Complexity Coffee Group 
  Sent: Tuesday, February 28, 2012 8:01 PM
  Subject: Re: [FRIAM] A Good Question - Should the United States join OPEC?


  This sounds right to me.  There is a lot of finger wagging at Iran for not 
having domestic capacity for petroleum refinement even though they are a crude 
exporter.  So I guess capacity works both ways.  The other thing I know is 
currently a hot topic is natural gas production.  I believe the US has 
increased its production quite a bit lately and is likely to have a lot more in 
the future.




  On Feb 28, 2012, at 8:40 PM, Hugh Trenchard wrote:


Just as a brief follow up, it seems to me one of the major factors in this 
is that U.S. refining capacity has increased so that there is less need to 
import refined petroleum products.  I haven't researched this in any detail and 
I stand to be corrected on all my assertions, but it seems to me it's not as 
though there are any new sources of US domestic supply or significant increase 
in technological ability to extract previously hard to obtain oil, and likely 
only marginal reduction in demand. There may be some, but my thought is the 
hype on this is rather misleading.  Again I don't have the figures, but my 
guess is that the vast majority of US crude imports likely still come from 
Canada, Mexico, and other western hemisphere nations, which the U.S. refining 
companies refine and re-sell as petroleum products, both for domestic use and 
to export abroad.

The link below shows some of the definitions used in the petroleum/fuels 
industry. From my skeptical standpoint, the hype could mislead the American 
public toward a false sense of security.  I suppose if it stimulates the 
economy, then that's good, but if it gets people guzzling more gas, then it's 
really just a fool's game.

http://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/TblDefs/pet_move_imp_tbldef2.asp

From the link: "Petroleum products are obtained from the processing of 
crude oil (including lease condensate), natural gas, and other hydrocarbon 
compounds. Petroleum products include unfinished oils, liquefied petroleum 
gases, pentanes plus, aviation gasoline, motor gasoline, naphtha-type jet fuel, 
kerosene-type jet fuel, kerosene, distillate fuel oil, residual fuel oil, 
petrochemical feedstocks, special naphthas, lubricants, waxes, petroleum coke, 
asphalt, road oil, still gas, and miscellaneous products."
  - Original Message -
  From: Russ Abbott
  To: The Friday Morning Applied Complexity Coffee Group
  Cc: Hugh Trenchard
  Sent: Monday, February 27, 2012 7:47 PM
      Subject: Re: [FRIAM] A Good Question - Should the United States join OPEC?


  We exported more petroleum products, not more oil. We are still net oil 
importers.


  -- Russ Abbott
  _
Professor, Computer Science
California State University, Los Angeles

Google voice: 747-999-5105
Google+: https://plus.google.com/114865618166480775623/
vita:  http://sites.google.com/site/russabbott/
  _ 





  On Mon, Feb 27, 2012 at 7:42 PM, Owen Densmore  
wrote:

From 
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2011/05/03/us-becomes-net-exporter-o_n_857085.html

  While some Americans cut back on driving as gas prices soar, the U.S. 
has become a net exporter of fuel for the first time in nearly 20 years.

  According to data from the Energy Department,starting last November 
-- with the exception of the month of January -- the U.S. began exporting more 
petroleum products than it imported.



This is not the source I got the idea from, its been in the news quite 
a bit lately, this is just the first google hit I tried.


The theory is that between the recession (thus less use of fuel, both 
supply side and demand), conservation/efficiency, and more recent hi-tech 
oil/gas exploitation (horizontal drilling), the US consumption has dropped and 
the production has increased, causing a net surplus. 


It certainly is surprising.



   -- Owen



On Mon, Feb 27, 2012 at 6:54 PM, Hugh Trenchard  
wrote:

  Where did you see that the US is now a net oil exporter?  The 
attachments below are 2008 and 2009, but I suspect the picture hasn't changed 
much since then (US imports 75% of its oil for consumption). I believe I saw 
reference to "potential exporter" in the NY Times article. 

  
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/graphic/2008/07/26/GR2008

Re: [FRIAM] A Good Question - Should the United States join OPEC?

2012-02-28 Thread Joshua Thorp
This sounds right to me.  There is a lot of finger wagging at Iran for not 
having domestic capacity for petroleum refinement even though they are a crude 
exporter.  So I guess capacity works both ways.  The other thing I know is 
currently a hot topic is natural gas production.  I believe the US has 
increased its production quite a bit lately and is likely to have a lot more in 
the future.


On Feb 28, 2012, at 8:40 PM, Hugh Trenchard wrote:

> Just as a brief follow up, it seems to me one of the major factors in this is 
> that U.S. refining capacity has increased so that there is less need to 
> import refined petroleum products.  I haven't researched this in any detail 
> and I stand to be corrected on all my assertions, but it seems to me it's not 
> as though there are any new sources of US domestic supply or significant 
> increase in technological ability to extract previously hard to obtain oil, 
> and likely only marginal reduction in demand. There may be some, but my 
> thought is the hype on this is rather misleading.  Again I don't have the 
> figures, but my guess is that the vast majority of US crude imports likely 
> still come from Canada, Mexico, and other western hemisphere nations, which 
> the U.S. refining companies refine and re-sell as petroleum products, both 
> for domestic use and to export abroad.
>  
> The link below shows some of the definitions used in the petroleum/fuels 
> industry. From my skeptical standpoint, the hype could mislead the American 
> public toward a false sense of security.  I suppose if it stimulates the 
> economy, then that's good, but if it gets people guzzling more gas, then it's 
> really just a fool's game.
>  
> http://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/TblDefs/pet_move_imp_tbldef2.asp
>  
> From the link: "Petroleum products are obtained from the processing of crude 
> oil (including lease condensate), natural gas, and other hydrocarbon 
> compounds. Petroleum products include unfinished oils, liquefied petroleum 
> gases, pentanes plus, aviation gasoline, motor gasoline, naphtha-type jet 
> fuel, kerosene-type jet fuel, kerosene, distillate fuel oil, residual fuel 
> oil, petrochemical feedstocks, special naphthas, lubricants, waxes, petroleum 
> coke, asphalt, road oil, still gas, and miscellaneous products."
> - Original Message -
> From: Russ Abbott
> To: The Friday Morning Applied Complexity Coffee Group
> Cc: Hugh Trenchard
> Sent: Monday, February 27, 2012 7:47 PM
> Subject: Re: [FRIAM] A Good Question - Should the United States join OPEC?
> 
> We exported more petroleum products, not more oil. We are still net oil 
> importers.
>  
> -- Russ Abbott
> _
>   Professor, Computer Science
>   California State University, Los Angeles
> 
>   Google voice: 747-999-5105
>   Google+: https://plus.google.com/114865618166480775623/
>   vita:  http://sites.google.com/site/russabbott/
> _ 
> 
> 
> 
> On Mon, Feb 27, 2012 at 7:42 PM, Owen Densmore  wrote:
> From 
> http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2011/05/03/us-becomes-net-exporter-o_n_857085.html
> 
> While some Americans cut back on driving as gas prices soar, the U.S. has 
> become a net exporter of fuel for the first time in nearly 20 years.
> 
> According to data from the Energy Department,starting last November -- with 
> the exception of the month of January -- the U.S. began exporting more 
> petroleum products than it imported.
> 
> 
> This is not the source I got the idea from, its been in the news quite a bit 
> lately, this is just the first google hit I tried.
> 
> The theory is that between the recession (thus less use of fuel, both supply 
> side and demand), conservation/efficiency, and more recent hi-tech oil/gas 
> exploitation (horizontal drilling), the US consumption has dropped and the 
> production has increased, causing a net surplus. 
> 
> It certainly is surprising.
> 
>-- Owen
> 
> On Mon, Feb 27, 2012 at 6:54 PM, Hugh Trenchard  wrote:
> Where did you see that the US is now a net oil exporter?  The attachments 
> below are 2008 and 2009, but I suspect the picture hasn't changed much since 
> then (US imports 75% of its oil for consumption). I believe I saw reference 
> to "potential exporter" in the NY Times article. 
>  
> http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/graphic/2008/07/26/GR2008072601599.html
>  
> http://www.flickr.com/photos/gdsdigital/4056035804/
> - Original Message -
> From: Owen Densmore
> To: Complexity Coffee Group
> Sent: Monday, February 27, 2012 9:14 AM
> Subject: [FRIAM] A Good Question - Should the Unit

Re: [FRIAM] A Good Question - Should the United States join OPEC?

2012-02-28 Thread Hugh Trenchard
Just as a brief follow up, it seems to me one of the major factors in this is 
that U.S. refining capacity has increased so that there is less need to import 
refined petroleum products.  I haven't researched this in any detail and I 
stand to be corrected on all my assertions, but it seems to me it's not as 
though there are any new sources of US domestic supply or significant increase 
in technological ability to extract previously hard to obtain oil, and likely 
only marginal reduction in demand. There may be some, but my thought is the 
hype on this is rather misleading.  Again I don't have the figures, but my 
guess is that the vast majority of US crude imports likely still come from 
Canada, Mexico, and other western hemisphere nations, which the U.S. refining 
companies refine and re-sell as petroleum products, both for domestic use and 
to export abroad.

The link below shows some of the definitions used in the petroleum/fuels 
industry. From my skeptical standpoint, the hype could mislead the American 
public toward a false sense of security.  I suppose if it stimulates the 
economy, then that's good, but if it gets people guzzling more gas, then it's 
really just a fool's game.

http://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/TblDefs/pet_move_imp_tbldef2.asp

>From the link: "Petroleum products are obtained from the processing of crude 
>oil (including lease condensate), natural gas, and other hydrocarbon 
>compounds. Petroleum products include unfinished oils, liquefied petroleum 
>gases, pentanes plus, aviation gasoline, motor gasoline, naphtha-type jet 
>fuel, kerosene-type jet fuel, kerosene, distillate fuel oil, residual fuel 
>oil, petrochemical feedstocks, special naphthas, lubricants, waxes, petroleum 
>coke, asphalt, road oil, still gas, and miscellaneous products."
  - Original Message - 
  From: Russ Abbott 
  To: The Friday Morning Applied Complexity Coffee Group 
  Cc: Hugh Trenchard 
  Sent: Monday, February 27, 2012 7:47 PM
  Subject: Re: [FRIAM] A Good Question - Should the United States join OPEC?


  We exported more petroleum products, not more oil. We are still net oil 
importers.


  -- Russ Abbott
  _
Professor, Computer Science
California State University, Los Angeles

Google voice: 747-999-5105
Google+: https://plus.google.com/114865618166480775623/
vita:  http://sites.google.com/site/russabbott/
  _ 





  On Mon, Feb 27, 2012 at 7:42 PM, Owen Densmore  wrote:

From 
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2011/05/03/us-becomes-net-exporter-o_n_857085.html

  While some Americans cut back on driving as gas prices soar, the U.S. has 
become a net exporter of fuel for the first time in nearly 20 years.

  According to data from the Energy Department,starting last November -- 
with the exception of the month of January -- the U.S. began exporting more 
petroleum products than it imported.



This is not the source I got the idea from, its been in the news quite a 
bit lately, this is just the first google hit I tried.


The theory is that between the recession (thus less use of fuel, both 
supply side and demand), conservation/efficiency, and more recent hi-tech 
oil/gas exploitation (horizontal drilling), the US consumption has dropped and 
the production has increased, causing a net surplus. 


It certainly is surprising.



   -- Owen



On Mon, Feb 27, 2012 at 6:54 PM, Hugh Trenchard  wrote:

  Where did you see that the US is now a net oil exporter?  The attachments 
below are 2008 and 2009, but I suspect the picture hasn't changed much since 
then (US imports 75% of its oil for consumption). I believe I saw reference to 
"potential exporter" in the NY Times article.  

  
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/graphic/2008/07/26/GR2008072601599.html

  http://www.flickr.com/photos/gdsdigital/4056035804/
- Original Message - 
From: Owen Densmore 
To: Complexity Coffee Group 
    Sent: Monday, February 27, 2012 9:14 AM
    Subject: [FRIAM] A Good Question - Should the United States join OPEC?


Now for something completely different:
  
http://www.nytimes.com/2012/02/26/opinion/sunday/friedman-a-good-question.html

Basically whether or not the US should join OPEC now that it is a net 
oil exporter.  


Insane as it sounds, there is some reason in the discussion.


   -- Owen






FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv
Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College
lectures, archives, unsubscribe, maps at http://www.friam.org


  
  FRIAM App

Re: [FRIAM] A Good Question - Should the United States join OPEC?

2012-02-28 Thread Alfredo Covaleda
US Companies explore, exploit and export petroleum from almost every
country in the world.


2012/2/27 Russ Abbott 

> We exported more petroleum products, not more oil. We are still net oil
> importers.
>
> *-- Russ Abbott*
> *_*
> ***  Professor, Computer Science*
> *  California State University, Los Angeles*
>
> *  Google voice: 747-*999-5105
>   Google+: https://plus.google.com/114865618166480775623/
> *  vita:  *http://sites.google.com/site/russabbott/
> *_*
>
>
>
> On Mon, Feb 27, 2012 at 7:42 PM, Owen Densmore wrote:
>
>>  From
>> http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2011/05/03/us-becomes-net-exporter-o_n_857085.html
>>
>>  While some Americans cut 
>> back<http://www.aolnews.com/2011/04/11/gas-prices-rise-americans-cutting-back-on-driving/>
>>  on
>> driving as gas prices soar, the U.S. has become a net exporter of fuel for
>> the first time in nearly 20 years.
>>
>> According to data from the Energy 
>> Department,<http://www.eia.doe.gov/dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?n=PET&s=MTPNTUS2&f=M>starting
>> last November -- with the exception of the month of January -- the U.S.
>> began exporting more petroleum products than it imported.
>>
>>
>> This is not the source I got the idea from, its been in the news quite a
>> bit lately, this is just the first google hit I tried.
>>
>> The theory is that between the recession (thus less use of fuel, both
>> supply side and demand), conservation/efficiency, and more recent hi-tech
>> oil/gas exploitation (horizontal drilling), the US consumption has dropped
>> and the production has increased, causing a net surplus.
>>
>> It certainly is surprising.
>>
>>-- Owen
>>
>> On Mon, Feb 27, 2012 at 6:54 PM, Hugh Trenchard wrote:
>>
>>> **
>>> Where did you see that the US is now a net oil exporter?  The
>>> attachments below are 2008 and 2009, but I suspect the picture hasn't
>>> changed much since then (US imports 75% of its oil for consumption). I
>>> believe I saw reference to "potential exporter" in the NY Times article.
>>>
>>>
>>> http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/graphic/2008/07/26/GR2008072601599.html
>>>
>>> http://www.flickr.com/photos/gdsdigital/4056035804/
>>>
>>> - Original Message -
>>> *From:* Owen Densmore 
>>> *To:* Complexity Coffee Group 
>>> *Sent:* Monday, February 27, 2012 9:14 AM
>>> *Subject:* [FRIAM] A Good Question - Should the United States join OPEC?
>>>
>>> Now for something completely different:
>>>
>>>
>>> http://www.nytimes.com/2012/02/26/opinion/sunday/friedman-a-good-question.html
>>>
>>> Basically whether or not the US should join OPEC now that it is a net
>>> oil exporter.
>>>
>>> Insane as it sounds, there is some reason in the discussion.
>>>
>>>-- Owen
>>>
>>> --
>>>
>>> 
>>> FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv
>>> Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College
>>> lectures, archives, unsubscribe, maps at http://www.friam.org
>>>
>>>
>>> 
>>> FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv
>>> Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College
>>> lectures, archives, unsubscribe, maps at http://www.friam.org
>>>
>>
>>
>> 
>> FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv
>> Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College
>> lectures, archives, unsubscribe, maps at http://www.friam.org
>>
>
>
> 
> FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv
> Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College
> lectures, archives, unsubscribe, maps at http://www.friam.org
>



-- 
Alfredo

FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv
Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College
lectures, archives, unsubscribe, maps at http://www.friam.org

Re: [FRIAM] A Good Question - Should the United States join OPEC?

2012-02-27 Thread Hugh Trenchard
Thanks for the clarification.  It is still surprising nonetheless.

- Original Message - 
  From: Russ Abbott 
  To: The Friday Morning Applied Complexity Coffee Group 
  Cc: Hugh Trenchard 
  Sent: Monday, February 27, 2012 7:47 PM
  Subject: Re: [FRIAM] A Good Question - Should the United States join OPEC?


  We exported more petroleum products, not more oil. We are still net oil 
importers.


  -- Russ Abbott
  _
Professor, Computer Science
California State University, Los Angeles

Google voice: 747-999-5105
Google+: https://plus.google.com/114865618166480775623/
vita:  http://sites.google.com/site/russabbott/
  _ 





  On Mon, Feb 27, 2012 at 7:42 PM, Owen Densmore  wrote:

From 
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2011/05/03/us-becomes-net-exporter-o_n_857085.html

  While some Americans cut back on driving as gas prices soar, the U.S. has 
become a net exporter of fuel for the first time in nearly 20 years.

  According to data from the Energy Department,starting last November -- 
with the exception of the month of January -- the U.S. began exporting more 
petroleum products than it imported.



This is not the source I got the idea from, its been in the news quite a 
bit lately, this is just the first google hit I tried.


The theory is that between the recession (thus less use of fuel, both 
supply side and demand), conservation/efficiency, and more recent hi-tech 
oil/gas exploitation (horizontal drilling), the US consumption has dropped and 
the production has increased, causing a net surplus. 


It certainly is surprising.



   -- Owen



On Mon, Feb 27, 2012 at 6:54 PM, Hugh Trenchard  wrote:

  Where did you see that the US is now a net oil exporter?  The attachments 
below are 2008 and 2009, but I suspect the picture hasn't changed much since 
then (US imports 75% of its oil for consumption). I believe I saw reference to 
"potential exporter" in the NY Times article.  

  
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/graphic/2008/07/26/GR2008072601599.html

  http://www.flickr.com/photos/gdsdigital/4056035804/
- Original Message - 
From: Owen Densmore 
To: Complexity Coffee Group 
Sent: Monday, February 27, 2012 9:14 AM
    Subject: [FRIAM] A Good Question - Should the United States join OPEC?


Now for something completely different:
  
http://www.nytimes.com/2012/02/26/opinion/sunday/friedman-a-good-question.html

Basically whether or not the US should join OPEC now that it is a net 
oil exporter.  


Insane as it sounds, there is some reason in the discussion.


   -- Owen






FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv
Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College
lectures, archives, unsubscribe, maps at http://www.friam.org


  
  FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv
  Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College
  lectures, archives, unsubscribe, maps at http://www.friam.org





FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv
Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College
lectures, archives, unsubscribe, maps at http://www.friam.org



FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv
Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College
lectures, archives, unsubscribe, maps at http://www.friam.org

Re: [FRIAM] A Good Question - Should the United States join OPEC?

2012-02-27 Thread Russ Abbott
We exported more petroleum products, not more oil. We are still net oil
importers.

*-- Russ Abbott*
*_*
***  Professor, Computer Science*
*  California State University, Los Angeles*

*  Google voice: 747-*999-5105
  Google+: https://plus.google.com/114865618166480775623/
*  vita:  *http://sites.google.com/site/russabbott/
*_*



On Mon, Feb 27, 2012 at 7:42 PM, Owen Densmore  wrote:

>  From
> http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2011/05/03/us-becomes-net-exporter-o_n_857085.html
>
>  While some Americans cut 
> back<http://www.aolnews.com/2011/04/11/gas-prices-rise-americans-cutting-back-on-driving/>
>  on
> driving as gas prices soar, the U.S. has become a net exporter of fuel for
> the first time in nearly 20 years.
>
> According to data from the Energy 
> Department,<http://www.eia.doe.gov/dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?n=PET&s=MTPNTUS2&f=M>starting
> last November -- with the exception of the month of January -- the U.S.
> began exporting more petroleum products than it imported.
>
>
> This is not the source I got the idea from, its been in the news quite a
> bit lately, this is just the first google hit I tried.
>
> The theory is that between the recession (thus less use of fuel, both
> supply side and demand), conservation/efficiency, and more recent hi-tech
> oil/gas exploitation (horizontal drilling), the US consumption has dropped
> and the production has increased, causing a net surplus.
>
> It certainly is surprising.
>
>-- Owen
>
> On Mon, Feb 27, 2012 at 6:54 PM, Hugh Trenchard wrote:
>
>> **
>> Where did you see that the US is now a net oil exporter?  The attachments
>> below are 2008 and 2009, but I suspect the picture hasn't changed much
>> since then (US imports 75% of its oil for consumption). I believe I saw
>> reference to "potential exporter" in the NY Times article.
>>
>>
>> http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/graphic/2008/07/26/GR2008072601599.html
>>
>> http://www.flickr.com/photos/gdsdigital/4056035804/
>>
>> - Original Message -
>> *From:* Owen Densmore 
>> *To:* Complexity Coffee Group 
>> *Sent:* Monday, February 27, 2012 9:14 AM
>> *Subject:* [FRIAM] A Good Question - Should the United States join OPEC?
>>
>> Now for something completely different:
>>
>>
>> http://www.nytimes.com/2012/02/26/opinion/sunday/friedman-a-good-question.html
>>
>> Basically whether or not the US should join OPEC now that it is a net oil
>> exporter.
>>
>> Insane as it sounds, there is some reason in the discussion.
>>
>>-- Owen
>>
>> --
>>
>> 
>> FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv
>> Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College
>> lectures, archives, unsubscribe, maps at http://www.friam.org
>>
>>
>> 
>> FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv
>> Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College
>> lectures, archives, unsubscribe, maps at http://www.friam.org
>>
>
>
> 
> FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv
> Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College
> lectures, archives, unsubscribe, maps at http://www.friam.org
>

FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv
Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College
lectures, archives, unsubscribe, maps at http://www.friam.org

Re: [FRIAM] A Good Question - Should the United States join OPEC?

2012-02-27 Thread Owen Densmore
From
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2011/05/03/us-becomes-net-exporter-o_n_857085.html

While some Americans cut
back<http://www.aolnews.com/2011/04/11/gas-prices-rise-americans-cutting-back-on-driving/>
on
driving as gas prices soar, the U.S. has become a net exporter of fuel for
the first time in nearly 20 years.

According to data from the Energy
Department,<http://www.eia.doe.gov/dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?n=PET&s=MTPNTUS2&f=M>starting
last November -- with the exception of the month of January -- the U.S.
began exporting more petroleum products than it imported.


This is not the source I got the idea from, its been in the news quite a
bit lately, this is just the first google hit I tried.

The theory is that between the recession (thus less use of fuel, both
supply side and demand), conservation/efficiency, and more recent hi-tech
oil/gas exploitation (horizontal drilling), the US consumption has dropped
and the production has increased, causing a net surplus.

It certainly is surprising.

   -- Owen

On Mon, Feb 27, 2012 at 6:54 PM, Hugh Trenchard  wrote:

> **
> Where did you see that the US is now a net oil exporter?  The attachments
> below are 2008 and 2009, but I suspect the picture hasn't changed much
> since then (US imports 75% of its oil for consumption). I believe I saw
> reference to "potential exporter" in the NY Times article.
>
>
> http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/graphic/2008/07/26/GR2008072601599.html
>
> http://www.flickr.com/photos/gdsdigital/4056035804/
>
> - Original Message -
> *From:* Owen Densmore 
> *To:* Complexity Coffee Group 
> *Sent:* Monday, February 27, 2012 9:14 AM
> *Subject:* [FRIAM] A Good Question - Should the United States join OPEC?
>
> Now for something completely different:
>
>
> http://www.nytimes.com/2012/02/26/opinion/sunday/friedman-a-good-question.html
>
> Basically whether or not the US should join OPEC now that it is a net oil
> exporter.
>
> Insane as it sounds, there is some reason in the discussion.
>
>-- Owen
>
> --
>
> 
> FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv
> Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College
> lectures, archives, unsubscribe, maps at http://www.friam.org
>
>
> 
> FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv
> Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College
> lectures, archives, unsubscribe, maps at http://www.friam.org
>

FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv
Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College
lectures, archives, unsubscribe, maps at http://www.friam.org

Re: [FRIAM] A Good Question - Should the United States join OPEC?

2012-02-27 Thread Hugh Trenchard
Where did you see that the US is now a net oil exporter?  The attachments below 
are 2008 and 2009, but I suspect the picture hasn't changed much since then (US 
imports 75% of its oil for consumption). I believe I saw reference to 
"potential exporter" in the NY Times article.  

http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/graphic/2008/07/26/GR2008072601599.html

http://www.flickr.com/photos/gdsdigital/4056035804/
  - Original Message - 
  From: Owen Densmore 
  To: Complexity Coffee Group 
  Sent: Monday, February 27, 2012 9:14 AM
  Subject: [FRIAM] A Good Question - Should the United States join OPEC?


  Now for something completely different:

http://www.nytimes.com/2012/02/26/opinion/sunday/friedman-a-good-question.html

  Basically whether or not the US should join OPEC now that it is a net oil 
exporter.  


  Insane as it sounds, there is some reason in the discussion.


 -- Owen


--


  
  FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv
  Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College
  lectures, archives, unsubscribe, maps at http://www.friam.org
FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv
Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College
lectures, archives, unsubscribe, maps at http://www.friam.org

Re: [FRIAM] A Good Question - Should the United States join OPEC?

2012-02-27 Thread Alfredo Covaleda
I suspect that  both South American members of the OPEC are not interested
in such a bright idea. Maybe later when right returns. By the way,
although  Hispanic population in USA exceeds the population of the most
populated hispanic country in South America and  We are just at three
flying hours from Miami, by now in UNASUR we are fine, thanks.


2012/2/27 Owen Densmore 

> Now for something completely different:
>
>
> http://www.nytimes.com/2012/02/26/opinion/sunday/friedman-a-good-question.html
>
> Basically whether or not the US should join OPEC now that it is a net oil
> exporter.
>
> Insane as it sounds, there is some reason in the discussion.
>
>-- Owen
>
> 
> FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv
> Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College
> lectures, archives, unsubscribe, maps at http://www.friam.org
>



-- 
Alfredo

FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv
Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College
lectures, archives, unsubscribe, maps at http://www.friam.org

Re: [FRIAM] A Good Question - Should the United States join OPEC?

2012-02-27 Thread Sarbajit Roy
Insane as it sounds, A better question is if the US should first join
the OIC (Organisation of Islamic Cooperation) considering that the US
has more Muslims (5+ million) than half OIC's member nations.

On 2/27/12, Owen Densmore  wrote:
> Now for something completely different:
>
> http://www.nytimes.com/2012/02/26/opinion/sunday/friedman-a-good-question.html
>
> Basically whether or not the US should join OPEC now that it is a net oil
> exporter.
>
> Insane as it sounds, there is some reason in the discussion.
>
>-- Owen
>


FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv
Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College
lectures, archives, unsubscribe, maps at http://www.friam.org


[FRIAM] A Good Question - Should the United States join OPEC?

2012-02-27 Thread Owen Densmore
Now for something completely different:

http://www.nytimes.com/2012/02/26/opinion/sunday/friedman-a-good-question.html

Basically whether or not the US should join OPEC now that it is a net oil
exporter.

Insane as it sounds, there is some reason in the discussion.

   -- Owen

FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv
Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College
lectures, archives, unsubscribe, maps at http://www.friam.org