steve herman, 610 sewall ave
____________________________________
From: r...@tristatestormwatch.com
To: asburyst...@aol.com
Sent: 2/8/2013 9:45:39 A.M. Eastern Standard Time
Subj: Weather Update - February 8th
NOR'EASTER IN PROGRESS THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING
HIGH WINDS THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING
SNOW/RAIN CHANGES TO RAIN MOST AREAS THIS MORNING THEN CHANGES TO HEAVY
SNOW BETWEEN MID-AFTERNOON (INLAND) AND EARLY THIS EVENING (COAST)
CONTINUING INTO EARLY SATURDAYMINOR COASTAL FLOODING AND BEACH EROSION AT THE
SATURDAY 6AM HIGH TIDE
FRIDAY - FEBRUARY 8TH
Precipitation is progressing south to north through the area early Friday
morning. Along the coast and in south NJ, its rain. Inland sections on
central NJ and in northern NJ, the precipitation is snow or a snow/sleet
mix. The rain/snow line will progress northward during the morning and early
afternoon and then reverse and start heading back to the coast
mid-afternoon through early evening.
As a side note, I understand the reasoning for a blizzard warning in
NYC...don't know why it starts at 6am this morning since it will be raining
until mid-afternoon.
There should not be much in the way of travel problems through
mid-afternoon. As the rain/snow line begins to crash back towards the coast,
northern NJ will see a change to snow that will likely impact the evening
commute. The changeover will be occurring during the evening commute in
central
NJ, so the earlier you can leave the get home...the better.
Once the rain changes to snow, it will come down heavily. There may be
several hours of 2 to 3 inch snowfall rates along with heavy blowing and
drifting. The heaviest snow will fall before 1am with moderate snow
continuing thereafter until around sunrise on Saturday morning.
Winds will increase and gust to 55 mph over coastal sections and 40 mph
inland. The worst of the winds will coincide with the heavy snowfall this
evening. There will be minor coastal flooding and beach erosion at the time
of high tide Saturday morning, but a more northerly component with the
winds at that time will prevent any serious coastal flooding.
To reiterate, the changeover time from snow to rain will be mid-afternoon
in northern NJ (except north of I-80 where the precipitation will remain
mostly snow), around 5pm for inland central and south NJ and around 7pm to
8pm for coastal sections of NJ (including Monmouth & Ocean)
Will narrow the range on snowfall accumulations as follows:
Coastal sections of Monmouth/northern Ocean: 6 to 9 inches
Inland Monmouth/northern Ocean and the remainder of the northern half of
NJ - 9 to 12 inches.
Northeast corner of NJ east of I-287 and north of I-280 including all of
NYC - 12 to 15 inches
Southern Burlington/Southern Ocean/Philly/North of AC Expressway - 3 to 6
inches
South of AC Expressway - 1 to 3 inches
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Tri-State Storm Watch 1234 Any Street Shark River Hills NJ USA
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