Steve Herman,  610 Sewall Ave

 
 
  
____________________________________
 From: r...@tristatestormwatch.com
To: asburyst...@aol.com
Sent: 2/7/2013  10:06:53 A.M. Eastern Standard Time
Subj: Weather Update - February  7th






  
     
   

      
   
     


MAJOR NOR'EASTER LIKELY FRIDAY, FRIDAY  NIGHT AND SATURDAY MORNING

HIGH WINDS FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH  SATURDAY MORNING 
LIGHT SNOW EARLY FRIDAY CHANGES TO  MIX/RAIN AND THEN CHANGES TO HEAVY SNOW 
LATER FRIDAY  AND CONTINUING INTO EARLY SATURDAY 
SNOW ACCUMULATIONS HIGHLY DEPENDENT ON  LOCATION














































  
     
  
THURSDAY - FEBRUARY 7TH

Big  coastal storm still on track for Friday through  Saturday morning.

Its time to get more specific  with timing and snow amounts.

Snow or a mix of  snow and sleet will begin in the early morning hours  
between 5am and 8am.  This precipitation will not  be heavy and should not 
cause much in the way of  problems for the morning rush hour.  As the day  
progresses on Friday precipitation will change over to  plain rain, with the 
exception being the area   north of I-80 where 1 to 2 inches of snow may  
accumulate during the day on Friday.  Elsewhere,  there will be little or no 
snow 
accumulation during  the day on Friday

Winds will be on the increase  during the day on Friday, but again, during 
the  daylight hours conditions will not be bad.  As we  approach late 
afternoon and evening, any rain will be  changing to snow from west to east.  
The  
changeover is going to occur very close to the evening  rush hour, 
particularly in northern NJ.  The  entire region should be snowing by 7pm or 
8pm and 
the  snow will become heavy, temperatures will fall back  into the 20s and 
the winds will cause blowing and  drifting.

Travel during Friday night is  discouraged.

Snow will end a couple of hours  before sunset in the western part of 
NJ/Philly and  just after sunrise in eastern NJ/NYC

South of  I-80 where the precipitation will be rain on Friday,  the 
changeover to snow will occur from west to east  starting between 3pm and 5pm 
and 
making its way to the  coastline between 6pm and 8pm.

Here are the  estimated snow accumulations for Friday  night:

Monmouth/northern Ocean and the  remainder of the northern half of NJ/sou
thern sections  of NYC - 4 to 8 inches

Northeast corner of NJ  east of I-287 and north of I-280/northern and 
eastern  sections of NYC - 8 to 12 inches

Southern  Burlington/Southern Ocean/Philly/north of the AC  Expressway - 2 
to 5 inches

South of AC  Expressway - 1 to 3 inches

Winds will gust to  50mph Friday night.  Minor coastal flooding is  likely 
overnight Friday.

Saturday will see  clearing skies with windy conditions in the morning,  
slowly subsiding by afternoon.

Clear Sunday and  rain for Monday

Check back early this afternoon  for a quick update.










































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