Gartner predicts new digital divide
High-speed broadband to create communities of haves and have nots

Ian Williams

V3.co.uk, 09 Sep 2009 - Growth in localised, high-speed residential broadband 
services is beginning to open a new chasm between urban and rural areas in 
terms of internet access, according to new findings from Gartner.

The analyst firm's Emerging Technology Analysis: Ultra-High-Speed Residential 
Broadband Internet, Global Consumer Services report predicts that a new digital 
divide will have emerged within three to five years between those able to 
access residential broadband speeds of 50Mbit/s or higher and those limited to 
basic access speeds.

AdvertisementThis is despite efforts such as the UK government's Digital 
Britain project, which aims to provide a basic broadband service to everyone 
who wants it.

"Ultra broadband will exacerbate the digital divide among different world 
regions, as well as within countries," said Fernando Elizalde, principal 
research analyst at Gartner.

"Governments in countries that lag behind in the deployment of ultra broadband 
will come under increasing pressure to use public funds to upgrade broadband 
infrastructure to avoid falling behind."

Elizalde explained that the need to acquire new customers and retain existing 
ones will see providers using headline speeds to help differentiate their 
services from the competition.

From a consumer perspective the growing use of high bandwidth applications such 
as downloading or live streaming of movies and television, as well as the 
distribution of user-generated content through email, social networking sites 
and video-sharing sites, will be a key driver, according to the report.

The demand for high-speed broadband is not limited to the entertainment sector, 
however. The report noted that e-government initiatives such as telemedicine 
and teaching, and business cases such as hosted services and telepresence, will 
all involve high levels of bandwidth use.

Elizalde also highlighted several barriers that may hinder adoption. From a 
financial standpoint, many people may shun super-fast connections if they are 
too expensive and fail to offer sufficient value.

The huge infrastructure investment required to roll out this level of service 
to the majority of the population, meanwhile, poses a financial and logistical 
challenge as it will often require large amounts of rewiring right up to the 
building. This is particularly daunting given the steady development of 
alternative mobile broadband technologies, such as Long Term Evolution.

"Despite these challenges, ultra broadband will happen and application 
developers should use the opportunity offered by the early adopter markets of 
Japan and South Korea to carry out live testing of new applications and 
innovations before it becomes mainstream globally," concluded Elizalde.

"Operators must position faster broadband speeds as a premium service to avoid 
commoditisation of ultra broadband, and strike a balance between their need to 
charge more for faster broadband and consumer willingness to pay for the extra 
speed."


Redline Communications Inc.
Kevin Suitor
Vice President, Corporate Marketing
302 Town Centre Blvd. Markham, ON L3R 0E8 CANADA
o: +1 905.948.2299     f: +1 647.723.0451     m: +1 416.508.1252        
Skype:   ksuitor
e-mail:   ksui...@redlinecommunications.com
Web:     www.redlinecommunications.com

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