You don't have to care about the chance of a collision. Work out the expected value of the collision by estimating the maximum that might cost you. I'll go nuts, and claim that a collision will cost *one BILLION* dollars. Not checking for a collision, assuming a 2**-90 collision rate (which is a huge over-estimate, but that I've seen bandied about here), you wind up with an expected dollar cost of 2**-60 dollars on that collision.

I don't pick up pennies in the street. I certainly won't dedicate any more brainpower to this silliness.

Paul

Enrico Weigelt wrote:
* Bruce Ellis <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:
it's even sillier, if everyone bought 1,000,000 times as many tickets
guess how that would change the probabilities. not at all!

The main problem is: statistics is not reliable. You just can guess how many times approx. something will happen if you take a really large number of tries. You can never be sure for a single case.


cu

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