And this time with a fixed subject line so that it is clearly visible which 
policy proposal we are talking about :)

> Op 22 jun. 2015, om 12:10 heeft Sander Steffann <[email protected]> het 
> volgende geschreven:
> 
> Hello working group,
> 
> Here is your chair's (singular, Gert has abstained from judging consensus as 
> he became too involved in the discussion on the mailing list and might be 
> seen as non-neutral on this policy proposal) analysis on the review phase of 
> RIPE policy proposal 2015-01.
> 
> At the end of the review phase there was a sudden flood of messages both 
> supporting and opposing the policy proposal. Many of these messages were on 
> or after the deadline: the end of the review phase. As those messages didn't 
> bring forward any new arguments they didn't influence my decision making 
> process. I have included them in this overview for completeness' sake.
> 
> First the people supporting this policy proposal. There were many people who 
> supported the proposal based on the rationale given in the proposal itself 
> (also known as "+1" messages). Others also stated the reasons why they 
> supported the proposal. These included:
> - It aligns with original intent (make assignments) of the final /8 policy
> - It makes it less profitable to overtly act against the original intent of 
> the final /8 policy
> - It is a good step in the right direction, we may need more steps later
> 
> Here is a list of people that supported this policy proposal:
> - Andre Keller
> - Andreas Larsen (after deadline)
> - Carsten Brückner (after deadline)
> - Carsten Schiefner
> - Christopher Kunz
> - Daniel Suchy
> - Dimitri I Sidelnikov
> - Erik Bais
> - Florian Bauhaus
> - Garry Glendown
> - Gerald Krause
> - Havard Eidnes
> - Herve Clement
> - Jan Ingvoldstad
> - Jens Ott
> - Marius Catrangiu
> - Martin Millnert (after deadline)
> - Mick O Donovan
> - Ondřej Caletka
> - Radu-Adrian FEURDEAN
> - Riccardo Gori
> - Richard Hartmann
> - Robert Sleigh
> - Sebastian Wiesinger
> - Thomas Schallar
> - Tim Kleefass
> - Tom Smyth (after deadline)
> - Tore Anderson
> - Torunn Narvestad (after deadline)
> - Vladislav Potapov
> 
> David Freedman asked for clarifications about the impact on the Mergers and 
> Acquisitions procedure of the RIPE NCC. These were answered by Marco Schmidt.
> 
> Daniel Baeza and Richard Hartmann asked for clarifications on how this policy 
> would be applied to allocations made in the past. Marco Schmidt explained 
> that if accepted this policy would only impact transfers happening after the 
> policy was implemented. Transfers that happened in the past would not be 
> impacted. The policy would be applied to existing allocations though. 
> Allocations made in the past would not be transferrable until they were at 
> least 24 month old. For some people this was a problem as they considered it 
> unfair to those LIRs that had started in the last 24 months with the 
> expectation that they would be able to transfer their allocation from the 
> final /8.
> 
> The people opposing this policy proposal because they consider it a 
> retroactive change are:
> - Sascha Luck
> - Storch Matei
> - Vladimir Andreev
> 
> There were many messages on this topic. We consider this objection handled 
> because this policy doesn't actually change anything that happened in the 
> past. This policy proposal is about the requirements of transfers. If this 
> proposal gets accepted transfers that have already happened stay happened, 
> and transfers that are about to happen will be checked against the current 
> policy at that time. This is how RIPE policies have always been applied and 
> this policy proposal is no different.
> 
> There was a message stating opposition to the proposal by Arash Naderpour, 
> but as no reasons against the proposal were given there is not much we can do 
> with this. Consensus based policy development means trying to address 
> objections until the reasons for the objections are taken away. When no 
> reasons are given this is not possible. Therefore this opposition will not 
> have much weight in my analysis.
> 
> There was also opposition because people felt that this policy proposal 
> didn't solve a real problem and/or wasn't solving all problems related to 
> abuse of the current final /8 policy. They were:
> - Amir Mohsen (after deadline)
> - Aleksey Bulgakov
> - Arash Naderpour (after deadline)
> - Borhan Habibi
> - Ciprian Nica
> - Olga @ip4market.ru (after deadline)
> - Petr Umelov
> - Sergey Stecenko
> - Storch Matei
> - Yuri @ntx.ru (after deadline)
> 
> During the discussion it was shown that the number of transfers from the 
> final /8 pool was increasing, especially for very "young" prefixes. This 
> shows that there this policy does solve a real problem. As with all policy 
> proposals it is clear that one policy proposal will not solve all the 
> potential problems all at once. That there are still other potential problems 
> related to the final /8 policy is noted as an encouragement for future policy 
> proposal authors.
> 
> There were also people objecting because preventing organisations to open a 
> new LIR and then transfer its address space would mean that the membership 
> growth of the RIPE NCC would be a bit lower, and because the RIPE NCC is 
> funded by its members the lower membership numbers might cause the membership 
> cost per member to increase. These were:
> - Ciprian Nica
> - Sergey Stecenko
> - Storch Matei
> - Vladimir Andreev
> 
> The impact analysis by the RIPE NCC however explicitly mentions that 
> "Considering the overall size of the membership, the RIPE NCC does not 
> anticipate a significant impact will be caused if this proposal is 
> implemented.".
> 
> Finally, there were also objections that the final /8 pool was too big and/or 
> not running out fast enough. This objection was made by:
> - Ciprian Nica
> - Storch Matei
> 
> In the impact analysis however mentions that the current pool will last 5.5 
> years based on the allocation rate of the last 6 months (up to the writing of 
> the impact analysis). That lifetime may be reduced significantly however if 
> new LIRs continue to join in ever-larger numbers and /22 transfers from last 
> /8 also gain more popularity. As the remaining lifetime of the IPv4 internet 
> is extremely likely to be longer than 5.5 years the lifetime of the final /8 
> pool seems short as it is.
> 
> Based on the feedback I see strong support for this policy proposal. All 
> objections seem to be addressed as well, so I hereby declare rough consensus 
> on policy proposal 2015-01 and ask our friendly RIPE NCC Policy Development 
> Officer to move this policy proposal to the Last Call phase.
> 
> Sincerely,
> Sander Steffann
> APWG co-chair
> 
> 


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