> On 16 Apr 2016, at 16:35, Adrian Pitulac <[email protected]> wrote:
> 
> How on earth did you reach the conclusion that 185/8 will be depleted in 10 
> months?

I didn’t. You’re putting words in my mouth.

I actually said "This proposal, if adopted, would pretty much guarantee the 
free pool would not survive 10 months. That is one of the reasons why I oppose 
it.”

You’re obsessing about the absolute value of a number in an off-the-cuff 
rhetorical comment. Whether the free pool gets exhausted in 9 months or 11 
months or 10.001 months or 10.002 months as a result of this proposal simply 
does not matter. It’s clearly going to get wiped out sooner than it would under 
the current policy.

Picking nits over guesses/assumptions about when this event happens makes no 
difference to the outcome. We still run out of IPv4 sooner than we would with 
the current policy. That’s the inconvenient truth. Supporters of 2015-05 must 
address this, excuse the pun.

2015-05 clearly states "Further allocations will speed up the depletion of the 
free pool.”. The object of 2015-05 is to allow further allocations. Therefore 
it will will speed up the depletion of the free pool. I oppose a policy 
proposal which has this aim and has no supporting facts to justify taking that 
course.

I’ve listed several reasons for rejecting 2015-05 already and do not need to 
repeat them. Supporters of this proposal are welcome to present evidence which 
shows why those reasons are mistaken or wrong. Or why the proposed policy would 
be better for the RIPE community than the current one. For some definition of 
better... To date, all that’s been provided is a rag-bag of noise, 
non-sequiturs and vague references to unsustainable business models.

If there’s a sensible or compelling justification to rapidly burn through the 
last dregs of IPv4, let's hear it.

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