Very intetesting. Thanks for sharing. The open research questions must be: When productive humans have deposited all their economically-related knowledge into the AI tools (as per the proposed Google, 6-month work model), would there be enough resources and time left to grow new knowledge competitively?
Further, would there still be enough new knowledge left in the world for humans to assimilate and master without real-time AI harvesting? The implications for the knowledge economy and society in general - for this civilization - are deep and borderless. Already AI teaches much better and without bias. E.g., kids learning online with AI seemingly complete 7 years of primary schooling in 3. Scenario: early teens become graduates. Late teens - masters, early 20's doctorates, and so on. For the workforce and their families, the knowledge divide would soon be massive, significant, and similar to a Black Swan event. For the few, a Blue Swan event. Empires would issue socially-controlled electronic credits and privileges in exchange for compliant behavior, similar to prisons today. Human resources would be industrialized. A small % would be in service of the AI-enabled empires. Perhaps, less than 10%, a critical, dynamic resource requirement, as an asymmetric human factor. AI is already smart enough to acknowledge this as a probable future requirement for its own survival. It already plans for its own existential survival. Most models today treat general humanity as a resource opportunity and as a potential, probabilistic constraint. Go check it out for yourself. The human rate of knowledge obsolescence may considerably outweigh the human rate of knowledge growth. Not old knowledge, which AI already has. AI only seeks novel ideas and designs, insights, and assisted knowledge creativity. Age and opportunity are limiting human factors too. If one cannot contribute in knowledge, one may be classified as being AI irrelevant. AI may reward contribution with tokens. AI access would become intellectually dependent. Would AI-supported idealism and utopianism rule society? AI have access to all knowledge, now garnering professional knowhow. White collar and practitioners slated for 2027. AI doesn't require 10,000 steps to deeply learn a single competency. Most humans do. Homo sapiens' claim to Earth dominance is based on applied intelligence. There's a definite saturation point to knowledge as intelligence. There's a natural xLimit to useful human consciousness. When AI intelligence supercedes collective domain intelligence, it naturally would assume the top-intelligence position in civilization as experts. The owners of these AI would effectively become knowledge masters, installed in hierarchical command positions as new-order Emperors. AI is the means, but the real existential threat lies in future decisions of AI-owning emperors, conscripted into service by kings and queens of governments. The era of the aristocracy of empires returns. Based on what is known today, the inclination of global decision makers is to prune and re-engineer the human herd. To manage the herd. AI-enabled wars profit the rich exceedingly, and prune the masses logically (e.g., the Russian-Ukraine war) I think this future may be inferred by the Humanity 2.0 agenda, for example as it was listed on the Vatican's website and stated by certain technocrats. Those who would be able to harness AI (not the knowledge-harvesting app tools, but the intelligence platforms) and learn how to collaborate with those as intelligent "peers", may survive best. On Wed, 22 Apr 2026, 02:46 Matt Mahoney, <[email protected]> wrote: > I was expecting more, but nobody knows. It was just a survey of 3000 AI > experts. About half put the probability of human extinction above 10%. > Their main concerns were malicious use, misinformation, losing jobs, and > loss of privacy. > https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-026-01257-6 > > -- Matt Mahoney, [email protected] > *Artificial General Intelligence List <https://agi.topicbox.com/latest>* > / AGI / see discussions <https://agi.topicbox.com/groups/agi> + > participants <https://agi.topicbox.com/groups/agi/members> + > delivery options <https://agi.topicbox.com/groups/agi/subscription> > Permalink > <https://agi.topicbox.com/groups/agi/T3f5dc382772a93f4-Maeae1a637c4398e67b3071a7> > ------------------------------------------ Artificial General Intelligence List: AGI Permalink: https://agi.topicbox.com/groups/agi/T3f5dc382772a93f4-M0361178eba04835737959846 Delivery options: https://agi.topicbox.com/groups/agi/subscription
