<[EMAIL PROTECTED]
> wrote:
Writing stories about it is fun. I've yet to see one that looks realistic (nor do I know what the real outcome will be - the one particular I'm sure of is that it will be at least partly unexpected) but it's fun to explore ideas nonetheless. (Last one I wrote - for an online roleplaying game - had the Singularity set in 2690, which perhaps doesn't count as "on our society".)
Would anyone care to scenario the effect of AI on our society?
Writing stories about it is fun. I've yet to see one that looks realistic (nor do I know what the real outcome will be - the one particular I'm sure of is that it will be at least partly unexpected) but it's fun to explore ideas nonetheless. (Last one I wrote - for an online roleplaying game - had the Singularity set in 2690, which perhaps doesn't count as "on our society".)
Will AI be mankind's curse or deliverance?
The one thing that's clear is that the present state of affairs is not stable (indeed, not even in equilibrium). We can go up or down, transcend our current limits or be ground under the wheel of time and join the trilobites in the fossil record; in that sense there is no doubt about the answer to your question.
Now what you could argue about is, say, whether the results are likely to be better if AI or uploading comes first. The need for some form of ultratechnology is beyond reasonable doubt; the best specific form to concentrate on isn't. I personally think AI first is likely to be better, but I don't think the people concentrating their efforts on neuroscience and nanotech are being irrational.
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