John Oh wrote:
Eliezer,

Under your decision theory that you believe to be superior to CDT and
EDT, please answer the yes/no questions below:

Do you believe the formulation of the Smoking Lesion as stated in the
paper you cited below to be sufficiently complete to enable a definite
answer?

Looks like it.

If so, does your theory conclude that Susan "should smoke"?  (This
should be trivial to answer, even if you are unwilling to explain how
or why your theory provides the answer that it does.)

Yes, Susan should smoke under the given conditions.
She should also take one box in Newcomb's Problem.

--
Eliezer S. Yudkowsky                          http://singinst.org/
Research Fellow, Singularity Institute for Artificial Intelligence

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