On Thu, 2006-06-08 at 07:56 +0800, Pei Wang wrote: > Whether the common response to the Linda example is a fallacy or not > depends on the "normative theory" that is used as the standard of > "correct thinking".
The paper I linked described an experiment in which subjects were paid for making correct predictions. Subjects failed to follow the (transparently) optimal betting strategy. I would call that an error. Here's the paper again: http://www.princeton.edu/~osherson/papers/nick10.pdf ------- To unsubscribe, change your address, or temporarily deactivate your subscription, please go to http://v2.listbox.com/member/[EMAIL PROTECTED]
