On 14 October 2014 21:24, Kerim Aydin <ke...@u.washington.edu> wrote:

>
>
> On Mon, 13 Oct 2014, Eritivus wrote:
> > Image: https://eritivus.s3.amazonaws.com/agora/mfgnpe/gnp/20141013.png
> >
> >      |--------------+-----+------|
> >      |         Week | GNP | 100% |
> >      |--------------+-----+------|
> >      |   2014-08-04 |   8 |      |
> >      |   2014-08-11 |   2 | -75% |
> >      |   2014-08-18 |   8 | 300% |
> >      |   2014-08-25 |  17 | 112% |
> >      |   2014-09-01 |  31 |  82% |
> >      |   2014-09-08 |  14 | -55% |
> >      |   2014-09-15 |   4 | -71% |
> >      |   2014-09-22 |   9 | 125% |
> >      |   2014-09-29 |  34 | 278% |
> >      |   2014-10-06 |  26 | -24% |
> >      |--------------+-----+------|
> >      | total change |  18 | 225% |
> >      |--------------+-----+------|
>
> NOW TAKING BETS for GNP for the Week of 2014-10-13!
>
> - BET up to 100 Florins per week by private message to me, or via
>    discussion forum.  BETTING CLOSES 24 hours before end of week.
>
> - ODDS PAYOFF BELOW.  Bookie's purse is infinite.
>
> - I will track Florin totals and payouts.
>
> - Unbet Florins are lost each week.
>
> - Obvious attempts to pad the public fora by posts will lead to
>    disqualification.
>
> ODDS TABLE GNP for the Week of 2014-10-13
>
> GNP BETS       ODDS
> 37+           4 to 1
> 27-36         7 to 4
> 26 exact      5 to 1
> 16-25         3 to 1
> 15-          10 to 1
>
>

I bet:
70 Florins on GNP $\in [16,25]$
30 Florins on GNP $\in [27,36]$

-- 
Tiger

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