Game 2 is better if p > 0.5.

P(win game 1) = p
P(win game 2) = p^3 + 3(p^2 * (1-p))

To find the solution, solve for p when

p^3 + 3(p^2 * (1-p)) > p

Which simplifies to

3p - 2p^2 > 1

Which is true when p > 0.5

On Mar 1, 5:15 pm, bittu <shashank7andr...@gmail.com> wrote:
> You have a basketball hoop and someone says that you can play 1 of 2
> games.
> Game #1: You get one shot to make the hoop.
> Game #2: You get three shots and you have to make 2 of 3 shots.
> If p is the probability of making a particular shot, for which values
> of p should you pick one game or the other?
>
> Thanks & Regards
> Shashank

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