Nope, I just meant that he measured all the other years from
Jan.1-Jan.1, so he's not comparing apples to apples by looking at YTD
performance.  We're coming into a time of year when there are
typically major drops followed by major rallies, so if his system
captures that behavior it could make up for its miserable 75% profit
up until now.:)

I hear you about real DD's that exceed that of tested methods.  That's
why I think it's so important to understand why a system works, beyond
simply the fact that it's tested-out well, which could just be a
mathematical coincidence, a meaningless correlation without any
cause-and-effect relationship.


Luck,

Sebastian

--- In amibroker@yahoogroups.com, "Fred" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:
>
> "So, two things: First, the obvious one, you can't really know that
> your system has "broken down" until you get the final results on
> January 1, 2007.:)"
> 
> Really ? ... You mean there is no point at which real DD's exceed 
> previous experience you wouldn't think that system is broken ?
>






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