>From an old blog post back I wrote in November:

The problem, as I see it, is that Google has presented no strategy for
getting the individual developer's application to the device so that the
individual developer can make money. So based on the available information,
Google doesn't have a strategy to sustain interest from the individual,
professional developer who will go off and do different things if he or she
can't make enough money. The hobbyist is another story but these hobbyists
are going to be a fairly small group (as opposed to hobbyist web
developers), as they will require an Android device, mobile data access, etc
to maintain their interests.

9. In these early stages, there will be some individual developers (or
groups) who will hit the jackpot with the prize money; or if Android is
successful, some may even have their product picked up and used to their own
financial advantage. But this is a very, very small group; and if there are
those who think that the current mobile industry is closed, they have no
good reason to assume that the big players won't dominate and push out the
individual developer after a short period of time (2 years in Java ME time).
Indeed, this competition is most likely already there. Again we are back to
not having a fundamental change in the ecosystem. Throwing out a marginally
better platform won't help these developers.

http://www.jroller.com/random7/entry/one_developers_take_on_what

Shane

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