Dear lok Davan Long and (NDA), ladies and gentlemen,
Part II: The (Probable) Battle Plan, was an awesome plan, I thank you and the
NDA very much.
>From some Thai people living outside of Thailand, they have already said that
>their Thai Arm Forces were complaining and were not happy about:
1- Too many landmines at the
border.
2- Khmer have not had many
concentrated troops along the border at Preah Vihear.
3- Next attack they will use
an helicopters gunship to attack our troops first, before they send
their ground troops into our Khmer territory.
Thank you once again for your smart battle plan. One thing still bordering me
is whether the Royal Cambodian Arm Forces have enough fire and man power to do
the counter attack when the Thai are sending their troops into
our Khmer territory?
My reasons are:
1- The Prime Minister of the Royal Cambodian
government just proposed to increase $500 million for next budget year (there
is no emergency budget for the nation defense department).
2- I am confident if they do the right thing like
now and truly recruiting 1000 troops so far in the age of 18 to 30 and more and
more recruiting to come then we may have some more men power and intensive
training to do in facing the big Thai Arm Forces power.
3- Although we still have some jungle experience
troops at Preah Vihear, but those troops were not having regular vocational
training since 1991 nor they have military exercises regularly like the Thai
counter part did with the US Arm Forces.
Most importantly all soldiers at Preah Vihear or along Khmer-Thai border have
many heavy burden on their shoulders in supporting and raising their wives and
children.
Without the bread winner or some financial planing support to soldier's wives
and children, they will starve to death while their husbands and their farthers
fight in the front line. Right now they even lack of basic necessities such as
mosqito nets and blankets especially rice and foods.
Our soldiers may have brave hearts, but lack informations about new fire power
technologies in the modern warfares.
4- Some area in Cambodia right now the ADB have
distribute rice to many starving Cambodians already, especially to Banteay
Meanchey the province which connect to the Thai border. As Khmer saying that
(tveu soek nung bay), without enough rice to eat they can not fight.
5- If the Royal Cambodian government which is
dominating by most of all CPP members, can accomodate all the above mentions
and use non discriminating policy by recruiting the young people from Sam Raisy
Party, Kem Sokha Party(HR), former Funcipec, NRD, Son San and former Khmer
Rouge party to join the Arm Forces of the Royal Cambodian government, I
strongly believe that we have no need to seek Vietnamese intervention(from Thai
television reporter, but Hun Sen denied)
If Vietnamese is so desire, what the Vietnamese could help their Khmer friend
is just to build as many as solid long term hygene military training camps
along Khmer-Vietnamese border and help to train these young Khmer recruits only
and let the Khmer do all the fighting.
Please do not ask Vietnamese to send more troops into Cambodian's territory at
any time in the future for Khmer have nothing left over to pay them back.
Regards,
Kulen Monorom
(the rice farmer's son)
________________________________
From: Davan Long <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
Sent: Thursday, 6 November, 2008 7:42:45 AM
Subject: Fwd2: Defending The Nation – Part II: The (Probable) Battle Plan
---------- Forwarded message ----------
From: Davan Long <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
Date: Wed, Nov 5, 2008 at 2:36 PM
Subject: Defending The Nation – Part II: The (Probable) Battle Plan
To:
Dear Fellow Khmers,
The volatile political environment in Thailand continues to put pressure on the
border issues, and Cambodia has a legitimate concern that Thai ultra
nationalists may attempt to exploit such volatility to stage a major
cross-border military offensive. After all, this is how the current border
standoff got started in the first place.
Despite of recent public announcement by both Cambodia and Thailand on their
commitment to peaceful solution on the border issues, the military situation on
the ground remains tense. Both sides have troops entrenched in and on high
alert a few hundred meters from each others. It is inherently dangerous.
Accident poises to happen and any misunderstanding could ignite the gunfight.
In part I of Defending the Nation entitled Threat Assessment, National Defence
Association (NDA) exposed Thai military structure, strength and arsenal. In
this part, NDA will highlight its view or anticipation of a possible battle
plan being drawn up by Thai generals, and recommends some counter measures.
It is unusual to openly discuss potential military plan or preparation in
public place. Nonetheless, NDA is taking this unusual step in order to inform
our population, soldiers, military planners and government of how it thinks the
Preah Vihear Battle is likely to be fought by the Thai side should the war
breaks out. NDA exercises utmost diligent in its writing and is well aware
that this article can fall into the enemy hands. Rest assured that the
information presented here has been carefully screened so that it will only
benefit our nation. It will not put our troops in any harm way, and the enemy
will not gain anything valuable out of this article.
Analyzing the current Thai political context, military structure, arsenal,
training and war experience, there is a high degree of certainty that the Royal
Thai Armed Forces (RTA) will fight the Western-style battle with a
two-phase-strategy. From the Thai perspective, this is not an invasion for
occupying the whole country or for toppling the Cambodian government, but a
quick and muscular military offensive specifically set out to humiliate, weaken
and demoralize the Royal Cambodian Armed Forces, and to ultimately occupy all
disputed areas by forces.
To achieve the objective of the first phase, the RTA will likely mobilize a
significant number of regular ground troops and call up on its air force to
launch a swift offensive, expecting to defeat and inflict severe damages and
casualties on Cambodian troops. Once it believes it has achieved that
objective, the RTA will promptly redeploy its regular ground troops to mislead
the international communities, while covertly sending in its paramilitary units
(rangers) to establish military outposts on our soils, occupy our temples, and
to assail or/and evict our local population from their villages.
Our best defense in such scenario is not to fight their battle but to make them
fight our battle. By not fighting their battle, we have effectively deny them
their firepower and air superiority. We must avoid concentrating our troops to
resist their major offensive, but prepare to make tactical retreats and regroup
for counter-offensives. What the Thai generals really want is for us to commit
a large number of troops and materials to resist their direct assault so that
they can use their firepower and logistical advantages to slaughter our troops.
Tactically, it is pointless to pay a heavy price in terms of troops and
materials for defending a particular position or line along the border areas.
Let the enemy troops move in, and then ambush them with coordinated
counter-offensives based on pre-established plans to inflict heavy casualties
on their ground troops.
Our troops must remain light and highly mobile, and be prepared to operate
behind the enemy line. This is our major strength as most of our troops
have the ultimate knowledge of the terrain and were grown up with the
way-of-life in the jungle. To ensure that our troops can effectively operate
behind the enemy line, we must hide critical supplies (non-perishable food,
medicines and ammunitions) in sufficient quantities at key strategic locations.
Any major offensive by the RTA will certainly be supported by heavy artillery
shelling and low-altitude air strikes. Similarly, any RTA rapid troop movement
or reinforcement during our counter-attacks will be done through airlift
(helicopters). It is urgent for the government to equip our troops with more
portable shoulder-fired surface-to-air missiles (SAM) to counter low-altitude
air threat. A few well known portable SAMs are FIM-92 Stinger made by US,
Igla-S made by Russia, QianWei-1 exported by China, and Anza-MKII produced by
Pakistan. During the Soviet occupation war in the 1980s, the Afghan
Mujahadeens had used the Stinger to destroy numerous Soviet helicopter
gunships, and effectively changed the tide of the war in their favor.
Radio communications are one of the key elements for coordinated attacks, but
it has inherent vulnerability that will be exploited by the enemy. We must
increase awareness among our soldiers on modern warfare capabilities,
especially in the areas of Electronic Support Measures (ESM) and
Counter-Measures (ECM). The RTA has significantly invested in its Command,
Control and Communications (C3) systems and is deploying such systems to
disrupt or/and intercept our radio communications. Our soldiers must be
trained how to react to mitigate the impact of enemy jamming and eavesdropping.
Orders should be issued to all combat units to maintain strict radio silence
and to only talk over the radios when it is absolutely necessary. Every
soldier must clearly understand that every time he talks over the radio (or
cell phone), there is a great risk that the enemy will either intercept the
message or/and pinpoint our tactical positions. Do not use plain language, use
coded words or messages instead. Learn to recognize each other voice over the
radios. Ask the caller to verbally authenticate to prevent the enemy
impersonating our troops. Do not use the same passwords for each
authentication. Do not blindly trust or rely on the radio built-in encryption
features. They are likely to be known and already broken by the enemy.
Our troops have years of field experiences in fighting guerillas or insurgency
battles. But facing the new threats, weapons and technology, they need to be
trained to have adequate understanding of modern warfare tactics and
capabilities. There are new generation of expatriate Khmers who have trained
and served with Western armed forces. They are well verse with modern weaponry
and special ops, and ready to counsel our troops at home. Together, we can
blend our traditional and modern fighting skills and knowledge to yield a
formidable fighting force.
NDA strongly advocates and hopes for a peaceful settlement on the border
issues, but fears that such resolution is virtually unattainable as the current
Thai negotiators unreasonably insist to negotiate on a map that their country
has unilaterally drawn. Should a military confrontation become unavoidable,
NDA is confident that our nation has the will, the strength and the necessary
mean to defend itself unassisted. We will prevail in the present or future
armed conflict, provided that we are all united, and remain utmost prudent in
our strategy and preparations, not to overlook details that could be exploited
by the enemy during the battles.
Yours truly,
Davan Long
NDA
[EMAIL PROTECTED]
PS: Thank you in advance for posting this article on your blogs, or sharing it
with your friends, local communities and networks. I apology if some of you
receive several copies of this email.
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