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Financial Times
March 25, 2002

Nato's southern dimension
The alliance must accept Romania and Bulgaria as
members if it is to achieve its stratergy, say Mark
Brzezinski and Tom Walls

-This declaration is the practical application of Mr
Bush's call for Nato to expand "from the Baltic to the
Black Sea". 
-Even now, they are providing support to Nato forces
in central Asia. Romania has sent a military police
platoon and a Her-cules C-130 aircraft to take part in
the United Nations-mandated International Security
Assistance Force in Afghanistan. Bulgaria has provided
airbase and overflight support. 
-They would also form a bulwark against the Black Sea
region, serving Nato's traditional strategic interests
and the pressing security needs of the alliance. 
-Nato enlargement has stabilised the economic
environment in new member states and created
opportunities for European and US companies. 

 
George W. Bush flew to Warsaw last June and declared
that "the expansion of Nato has fulfilled Nato's
promise. And that promise now leads eastward and
southward, northward and onward." 

That was a remarkable statement from a president who
is not thought of as a great multilateralist. Was he
speaking of Romania and Bulgaria? At least some Nato
members believe he should have been. On February 13 in
Istanbul, the foreign ministers of Greece and Turkey
joined their counterparts from Romania and Bulgaria to
declare that Nato's expansion of the zone of security
and stability must include Romania and Bulgaria. This
declaration is the practical application of Mr Bush's
call for Nato to expand "from the Baltic to the Black
Sea". That goal cannot be achieved without admitting
at least one of these two south-east European
countries. 

In Prague in November, Nato will decide officially
which nations will be invited to join the alliance. In
Washington and other Nato capitals, the process of
consideration is well under way. Membership of the
Baltic states and Slovenia is all but guaranteed.
Romania and Bulgaria do not know what fate awaits them
but their commitment to embrace Nato's values and
strategic vision is beyond doubt. They are the next
order of business. 

As November approaches, Europe and the US will turn to
consider the southern dimension - but Nato members
must do more than say "yes" or "no" to candidates.
They must accept the challenge to study the candidates
and make informed choices about who should join the
alliance and why. There is growing consensus on both
sides of the Atlantic that a larger Nato is desirable
but there must be a more realistic examination of the
assets that each aspirant nation brings. Americans and
Europeans will ask: who will make Nato stronger as a
military alliance and as an embodiment of its members'
common values? A thoughtful, objective answer must
include Romania and Bulgaria. 

Nato's expansion into south-eastern Europe would offer
the transatlantic alliance the prospect of making
progress in three priority areas: enhancing regional
security; promoting stability and democracy; and
fostering growth and integration. 

First, Romanian and Bulgarian membership would enhance
security because they are the biggest and most
populous of the Nato aspirants and they have proved
loyal partners in the conflicts in Bosnia and Kosovo
and in the war against terrorism. Even now, they are
providing support to Nato forces in central Asia.
Romania has sent a military police platoon and a
Her-cules C-130 aircraft to take part in the United
Nations-mandated International Security Assistance
Force in Afghanistan. Bulgaria has provided airbase
and overflight support. 

They would also form a bulwark against the Black Sea
region, serving Nato's traditional strategic interests
and the pressing security needs of the alliance. And
they would provide a fully contiguous link to Hungary,
Turkey and Greece and would further shelter Italy,
Spain and France. 

Second, Romania and Bulgaria would strengthen regional
stability and democracy and reduce potential for
conflict. Romania, for example, is an established
democracy and has reformed its military by halving the
number of its troops and allotting 2.5 per cent of its
gross domestic product to a modern force that would
complement Nato forces. Romania has soberly examined
its culture and embraced tolerance backed by law. It
is dealing frankly with the grim history of past
Romanian regimes' treatment of Jews and other ethnic
minorities. 

Last, looking south to Romania and Bulgaria would
enable the alliance to foster growth and integration
in what has so far been the missing piece of the
alliance's European jigsaw. Nato enlargement has
stabilised the economic environment in new member
states and created opportunities for European and US
companies. South-eastern Europe is ripe for the same
Nato-driven growth, which could help all the nations
of the often war-ravaged region, including the
Balkans. A growth rate of 1.6 per cent in 2000 and an
estimated 4.8 per cent in 2001, according to the
International Monetary Fund, gives Romania the second
most dynamic GDP among European Union candidate
states. The Romanian economy is expected to grow 4.6
per cent this year, the highest rate of growth in the
region. 

After September 11, Nato stated that an attack on one
member was, in effect, an attack on all. With that,
the alliance made manifest what has long been true:
Nato today is a security organisation, not simply a
defence alliance. Now it must embrace the opportunity
that lies to the south in a wide, contiguous Nato -
strong, free, forward-looking and confident in its
future. 

Mark Brzezinski was director for south-east Europe on
the National Security Council during the Clinton
administration. Tom Walls is a former senior
congressional staffer to a member of the Senate
Foreign Relations Committee 


 


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