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from
Japan Today
Wednesday, March 12, 2003 

http://www.japantoday.com/e/?content=news&id=252375

War could wipe out nearly 100,000 airline jobs in U.S.

NEW YORK - A U.S-led invasion of Iraq could lead to a devastation of
the already ailing U.S. airline industry and an additional loss of
nearly up to 100,000 jobs in the industry, an airline trade group
said Tuesday.

  The Air Transport Association, which is made up mostly of American
airlines, predicted a sharp fall in the number of passengers and a
sharp rise in fuel prices in the event of a war in Iraq will increase
pressure for further restructuring of U.S. airline industry.

  Analyzing the economic impacts of a possible war in Iraq, the
association laid out four possible scenarios, ranging from no war in
Iraq to the worst-case scenario where a U.S.-led war in Iraq goes on
for one-and-half months while the U.S. is under terrorist attack.

  Under this worst-case scenario, the Air Transport Association
predicts that air passengers will plummet by more than 40% for at
least three straight months and the airline industry would need
several years to make a comeback.

  U.S. airlines would then be required to cut 98,000 additional jobs
and lose $13 billion in this year alone.

  Even without open hostilities in Iraq, U.S. airlines are projecting
losses of $6.7 billion this year. 

(Kyodo News)
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