http://www.hs.fi/english/article/Estonian+military+source+Increased+Russian+naval+activity+in+Baltic+Sea/1135252437060


Helsingin Sanomat
January 27, 2010
 

Estonian military source: Increased Russian naval activity in Baltic Sea 
Finnish military sees no dramatic changes in numbers of Russian vessels


-The increasing presence of NATO and the United States in the Baltic Sea is 
also contributing to the greater Russian activity. 
“If the United States were to bring its planned anti-missile vessels into the 
Baltic Sea, it would bring about a reaction”, says Lieutenant-General Matti 
Ahola (ret.). 


 
Sources at the Estonian Ministry of Defence say that the Russian Navy increased 
its activities in the Baltic Sea in 2009. The Estonians make particular note of 
two large naval exercises, called Zapad and Ladoga, which together extended 
from the between Belarus-Lithuania border to the Leningrad Region. 

The exercises were the biggest in years in the Baltic Sea region, with units of 
the Russian North Sea and Black Sea fleets taking part. 

Already in 2006 Russian President Vladimir Putin said that the planned undersea 
natural gas pipeline from Russia to Germany will increase Russian naval 
activity in the Baltic. 
      
“Russian Naval vessels operated in the Baltic Sea more than before, which they 
naturally have the right to do”, said an anonymous source at the Estonian 
Defence Forces. 

The ships carry anti-aircraft systems, missiles, torpedoes, and anti-submarine 
weapons. They do not have any nuclear missiles on board. 

In addition, there are Russian research and surveillance vessels in the Baltic, 
and surveillance aircraft are also active in the area. 

Russia’s Baltic fleet is not as large or as important as those in the Black 
Sea, the North Sea, and the Pacific, but the Estonian military source notes 
that there is a strong move to upgrade the Baltic fleet. 
      
The Finnish Navy has better capability than the Estonian military to monitor 
movements of Russian surface vessels, but it does not report its observations. 

Nevertheless, the Finnish Naval Staff says that the number of Russian ships in 
the Gulf of Finland has not increased. 

“It has remained more or less unchanged”, said commander Juha Savisaari to 
Helsingin Sanomat. 
      
As the Finnish Navy sees it, the gas pipeline will mean an increase in the 
presence of the Russian Navy in the area, but “a presence does not mean a 
threat”, Savisaari says. 

The Russian Navy is expected to become more active even without a gas pipeline, 
as the Gulf of Finland is becoming one of the most important channels of export 
of Russian oil to the West. The increasing presence of NATO and the United 
States in the Baltic Sea is also contributing to the greater Russian activity. 

“If the United States were to bring its planned anti-missile vessels into the 
Baltic Sea, it would bring about a reaction”, says Lieutenant-General Matti 
Ahola (ret.). 
      
The arrival of the gas pipeline is not seen by experts as causing any 
confrontations, as Russia wants to avoid any conflicts, and to keep the channel 
open. 

The reference book The Military Balance reveals that the number of ships in the 
Russian Baltic fleet has declined slightly since the early part of the century. 

There are two submarines in active use, and they have not been replaced by the 
new Lada class diesel submarines. 

“The capacity is very limited, and the navy is not capable of large 
operations”, says Major Heikki Lehtonen of the Strategy Department of the 
National Defence University, who follows Russian events closely. 
===========================
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