> On Mar 18, 2022, at 7:37 AM, Mike Burns <m...@iptrading.com> wrote:
> 
> 
> Hi Owen, Andrew, and Scott,
>  
> Transfer approval of a larger-than-minimum block size requires detailed 
> documentation of the use of at least 50% of the block in 24 months, and that 
> detailed documentation must be officer-attested.  I’m sure we all agree that 
> nobody can approach ARIN for a large initial block without providing 
> believable documentation to ARIN, and the attestation provides actionability 
> against fraud. 

I don’t doubt that believable documentation is required. But my concern, as I 
stated in the very first reply to this thread that everyone ignored, is:

> If you’re going to remove that, what is to stop me from opening a new LIR and 
> stating that I want pre-qualification for a transfer of a /8 to lease out, 
> because I have sales projections that I can lease out a /9 within 24 months, 
> a /10 within 12 months, and a /11 within 6 months? And if I fail to meet my 
> sales projections, I can sell some or all of the /8 after 12 months 
> (presumably at a profit, as prices just keep going up).  
> 
> It seems that there should be some limit on initial block size if we’re going 
> to rely exclusively on recipients’ leasing projections instead of requiring 
> use on an operational network.


I take your point about a /8 being infeasible to acquire on the market, but the 
same point applies at whatever the maximum available size currently is. 

-Scott

> Further transfers require proof of utilization of the original transfers.
>  
> This persistent fear of “speculation”, whatever that word means in this 
> context, is belied by the RIPE experience. Will somebody please answer the 
> RIPE experience before bringing up the “speculation” argument?
> It’s over 10 years now. The experiment has been performed. We have the data. 
> It’s time to point to evidence instead of holding policy in thrall to 
> assertions of the dangers of speculation.
>  
> Remember the biggest damper on speculation is the reality of the market. You 
> can’t just whip up a /8 to be transferred, and if you could, you are looking 
> at spending almost a billion dollars! Do you really think a billion dollar 
> investment in an asset that all the smart people say will be valueless at 
> some point isn’t a damper on speculation? Do you think ARIN would approve an 
> initial transfer of a /8 on the mere promise it will be leased out in two 
> years?
>  
> I trust the market and I trust ARIN staff enough to dampen “speculation”. As 
> always, should something damaging appear, we retain the ability to change 
> policy.
>  
> Regards,
> Mike
>  
>  
> From: ARIN-PPML <arin-ppml-boun...@arin.net> On Behalf Of Owen DeLong via 
> ARIN-PPML
> Sent: Thursday, March 17, 2022 8:20 PM
> To: Andrew Dul <andrew....@quark.net>
> Cc: arin-ppml@arin.net
> Subject: Re: [arin-ppml] Revised and Retitled - Draft Policy ARIN-2021-6: 
> Permit IPv4 Leased Addresses for Purposes of Determining Utilization for 
> Future Allocations
>  
> I favor the kind of limitations Scott has expressed. I was commenting on the 
> arguments made by Fernando and have not yet had the bandwidth to review the 
> actual policy text in detail.
>  
> Owen
>  
> 
> 
> On Mar 17, 2022, at 16:17 , Andrew Dul <andrew....@quark.net> wrote:
>  
> The draft policy as currently written does not provide any additional limits 
> against speculation.  As drafted, it allows any organization (including those 
> who do not operate networks) to obtain IPv4 addresses for the purpose of 
> leasing.  
>  
> With that policy change what types of limits does the community think would 
> be needed?
>  
> Thanks,
> Andrew
>  
> On 3/17/2022 3:00 PM, Scott Leibrand wrote:
> +1 to both Owen and David Farmer's comments. Leasing IPv4 space is likely the 
> best solution for some networks that need those addresses to operate their 
> network. If an organization wants to acquire and lease out IPv4 space without 
> providing bundled IPv4 transit, that should be allowed by policy. It might be 
> useful for ARIN policy to try to slightly dampen speculation by requiring 
> that organizations seeking to acquire large blocks of IPv4 space demonstrate 
> that their current holdings are being efficiently used by the organization 
> they're registered to in whois. I am not sure if this policy proposal does 
> that to my satisfaction, but once we ensure it does so, I would likely 
> support it.
>  
> -Scott
>  
> On Thu, Mar 17, 2022 at 1:33 PM Owen DeLong via ARIN-PPML 
> <arin-ppml@arin.net> wrote:
>  
> 
> 
> On Mar 16, 2022, at 15:22 , Fernando Frediani <fhfredi...@gmail.com> wrote:
>  
> Hi David
> If I understand correctly you seem to have a view that there should be a ARIN 
> policy to permit IPv4 leasing just because it is a reality and we kind of 
> have to accept it in our days. No we don't, and that's for many different 
> reasons.
> Well, of course, you are free to deny reality as much as you want. Many 
> people do. It’s not particularly helpful in the discussion, however.
> 
> 
> I am used to see people saying the brokers are doing a good thing for the 
> community by facilitating the things which in reality is the opposite. It may 
> look like a good things, but the real beneficiaries are only them who profit 
> from it without much concern of what is fair or not to most organizations 
> involved.
>  
> You are actually mistaken here. I used to think as you do, actually. I was 
> very resistant to the first “specified transfer” policies because of some of 
> the reasons you describe. However, what you are failing to recognize is that:
> + Brokers and specified transfers were going to happen with or without the 
> RIRs. If they happened without the RIRs,
> there’d be no accurate record of who was using which address space and the 
> provenance of addresses would be
> very difficult to support or defend.
>  
> * Benefit to the community from brokers: (ethical) brokers are familiar with 
> the rules in the RIRs in which
> they operate and can assist their customers in accurate and compliant 
> registration updates and
> aid in keeping the allocation database(s) accurate.
>  
> + With the economic realities of IPv4 addresses becoming progressively more 
> and more expensive and the advent
> of ISPs with limited IPv4 resources available, it is inevitable that more and 
> more IP service providers will be
> doing one or more of the following:
>  
> + Separate surcharges for IPv4 addresses
> + Expecting customers to supply their own IPv4 addresses
> + Surcharges for IPv4 services
> + IPv4 “installation charges” large enough to cover the procurement of 
> addresses
>  
> * Brokers assist ISPs and customers in many of the above circumstances.
>  
> + With a variety of organizations holding IPv4 addresses that may or may not 
> even known they have them and whose
> IPv4 resources may vastly exceed their needs, it is (arguably) desirable to 
> have those addresses be transferred to parties
> that have current need for IPv4 addresses.
>  
> * Brokers provide a valuable service to the community identifying and 
> marketing these resources
> * Paid transfers provide an incentive for entities to make more efficient use 
> of the resources they have in order
> to monetize the resources they no longer need. Brokers are frequently able to 
> assist in this process.
>  
> + With the high cost of acquisition, IPv4 addresses have become a capital 
> intensive part of any network-dependent
> business model that must support IPv4. Further, there is some risk that this 
> capital outlay may be fore a resource
> which will abruptly and quickly lose its value and no longer be needed well 
> before it can be amortized as a capital
> expenditure. As such, it may make sense for some entities to transfer that 
> risk to another organization by using
> a lease structure instead of purchasing the addresses outright.
>  
> * Brokers that provide IPv4 leasing in an ethical and policy compliant way 
> provide a valuable service
> to these businesses. Yes, their price per address may eventually be more than 
> it would have cost
> them to purchase the addresses, but the same is true of virtually any rental 
> situation.  On the other hand,
> that excess helps offset the risk that the lessor is taking by owning a 
> resource that may or may not remain
> valuable and may or may not continue to produce revenue.
> IP Leasing is very different from IP Transfer which I see not problem they 
> continue doing it. IP Transfer at least we have some guarantees that the 
> directly receiving organization really justify for them and that is a quiet 
> important (I would say fundamental) point to look at, because that is fairer 
> to everyone involved. What guarantees we have when a IP Leasing is done in 
> that sense, that fairness start to lack here.
> If we set the policies up correctly, we should have the same exact guarantees 
> on a lease.
>  
> If $ISP acquires a /10 through transfer and then issues various subordinate 
> prefixes to their customer, the only guarantee
> you have that $ISP’s customers who receive the addresses really justify them 
> is that $ISP says so. We generally trust $ISP
> to act in good faith.
>  
> If $LESSOR acquires a /10 through transfer and then leases various 
> subordinate prefixes to their customers, we have pretty
> much the same guarantee with the additional bit that $CUSTOMER is at least 
> willing to pay enough for the addresses to $LESSOR
> to make the lease make sense. In general, I think it is somewhat safe to 
> assume that $CUSTOMER is not going to make a
> monthly recurring payment to $LESSOR for something they don’t intend to use. 
> If one’s intent is to deprive the market and
> inflate the price, then the risk profile for such a transaction is vastly 
> more favorable if you purchase rather than lease.
>  
> Sure, there could be lessors that don’t get reasonable justification for 
> allocations from their customers, but there are most
> certainly ISPs in that category as well. Either way, you’ve got very little 
> assurance. A lessor can provide just as much
> justification to an RIR for the addresses they will allocate to leases as an 
> ISP can for addresses they will lease to their
> customers. The only difference is a lease with connectivity from the same 
> company or a lease from a company other than
> the one(s) providing connectivity.
> People see the brokers are doing a favor to organizations in general by 
> facilitating they get some chunks of IPv4, but that in reality makes the cost 
> of IPv4 for both leasing and transfer more and more expensive as it makes 
> organization even more dependent from these those crumbs that seem to be 
> offered with good intention but in reality it is feeding a system that is 
> contrary the interests to most organizations involved.
> Just as you are free to mount, balance, and rotate your own tires, or, you 
> can go to a tire store and have them perform that service for a fee, brokers 
> provide a service for a fee. If you want to obtain addresses in the transfer 
> market without a broker, you’re still free to do that. Brokers are not 
> driving the cost of IPv4… The scarcity and difficulty of operating with IPv4 
> is driving the cost of IPv4. Brokers are along for the ride providing a 
> service and collecting a fee for that service. Whether that fee is reasonable 
> or not is (and should be) entirely in the eye of the customer. Customers are 
> always free to walk away and find a different supplier or look for their 
> addresses independently.
> It may sound a cliche but IPv4 is over and organizations must learn how to 
> survive with what they have, reinvent themselves and make better used of 
> their IPv4 resources, deploy a proper CGNAT, deploy IPv6 either they like it 
> or not, etc. If an organization have so little or none and need some minimal 
> amount is fine they seek for a Transfer of a minimal amount with the help of 
> brokers. 
> I agree. However, the increasing cost of IPv4 is a natural and organic part 
> of that process and sticking our heads in the sand and pretending that it is 
> not the economic reality of how the current world works will not help anyone. 
> Not the community, not organizations that are short on IPv4 resources, and 
> not the RIRs who are only useful so long as their databases provide a 
> reasonably accurate reflection of the actual utilization of the address space 
> and who controls it.
>  
> A broker is an LIR just like an ISP. Since ISPs are now charging for 
> addresses independent of connectivity and bandwidth, it only makes sense that 
> customers can shop for them separately from different suppliers. Just like 
> you can buy tires for your car from the dealership or from some other store 
> that sells and supports tires, IPv4 addresses are moving that way as well. 
> The RIRs can either recognize this and adapt to it with policies that make 
> sense and preserve some of the things you’ve outlined as concerns above, or, 
> they can simply deny the reality of IPv4 leasing and lose track of how 
> addresses are actually managed for some significant chunks of the internet.
> Encouraging IP Leasing as if it were something normal just "because it exists 
> today" is a shot in the foot that in the long term only worsens the existing 
> scenario, it feeds a market without much discretion increasing final prices 
> for everyone and what is the worst of all, creates even more unfairness for 
> everyone who has always submitted to the rules we have until today for 
> distributing addresses to those who really have a real justification to keep 
> control of that resource that does not belong to them.
> I don’t believe that a policy that merely allows IPv4 leasing can be said to 
> encourage it. Rather, it permits it, recognizes that it exists and is not 
> going to stop existing just because policy pretends it can’t exist.
>  
> The market is not likely to be significantly swayed by policy in terms of 
> pricing, with the exception that AFRINIC has been able to preserve a devalued 
> price on addresses within their region due to their restrictive lack of a 
> transfer policy for moving addresses to/from AFRINIC. However, while this has 
> the effect of keeping AFRINIC IPv4 addresses less expensive on the open 
> market, it also leads to a significant amount of utilization of those 
> addresses outside of policy and quite a bit of hoarding of addresses by some 
> of AFRINIC’s largest members. ARIN’s counsel has advised against naming names 
> here, so I won’t, but if you want names, contact me off list.
>  
> Owen
>  
> 
> Regards
> Fernando
> On 16/03/2022 13:09, David Farmer via ARIN-PPML wrote:
> Yes, bundling IPv4 addresses with bandwidth is permitted, and in the past was 
> common practice, heck even the expected practice. However, the fact that IPv4 
> address demand isn't decreasing significantly, the costs to acquire new IPv4 
> addresses are increasing significantly, and with the increasing 
> commoditization of bandwidth, it is no longer economically viable to bundle 
> bandwidth, and its associated connectivity, with IPv4 addressing. This is 
> driving a structural separation of bandwidth, connectivity, and IPv4 
> addressing, from each other, instead of bundling them together as in the past.
>  
> Let me state that differently; ISPs are being driven, buy cost conscience 
> consumers, to separate the costs of bandwidth and the costs of the IPv4 
> addresses needed to utilize the bandwidth from each other.  Minimally this 
> separation is achieved by accounting for the costs on separate line items of 
> a common bill from a single provider. However, price competition for 
> bandwidth and IPv4 addresses separately will inevitably drive a structural 
> separation between the two. Consumers will want the best price they can get 
> for bandwidth and the best price they can get for IPv4 addresses, regardless 
> of whether they come from a single provider or not.
>  
> Some may argue this is being driven by the existence of address brokers, and 
> their desire to make money, I disagree. While address brokers making money is 
> the grease that keeps this machine working, the need for the machine is 
> driven by; IPv4 free pool exhaustion, the increasing cost of IPv4 addresses, 
> and the lack of adoption of IPv6.
> In other words, address brokers wouldn't exist if there wasn't a demand for 
> their services.
>  
> In short, the economic conditions that allowed for and even encouraged the 
> bundling of IPv4 addresses with bandwidth and connectivity no longer exist, 
> that world is gone. While I have not personally yet determined if I support 
> this particular policy text, nevertheless, the time has come to recognize the 
> next step in this inextricable evolution of IPv4 address policy by the ARIN 
> policy community and permit IPv4 leasing.
>  
> Thanks.
>  
> On Fri, Mar 11, 2022 at 5:05 PM John Santos <j...@egh.com> wrote:
> I disagree.  The addresses are useless unless they ALSO purchase access and 
> routing from another network operator.  How is this cheaper?
> 
> It is and always has been allowed to lease bundled access of addresses and 
> connectivity from a LIR, without any expense for purchasing those addresses.
> 
> 
> On 3/11/2022 12:13 PM, Tom Fantacone wrote:
> > I support the proposal as written.
> > 
> > It facilitates the provision of a valuable service to a large swath of the 
> > ARIN 
> > community, namely the ability of network operators with an operational need 
> > to 
> > lease IPv4 addresses from 3rd party lessors at a fraction of the cost of 
> > purchasing those addresses.  Too often we have seen network operators 
> > justify 
> > their need for IPv4 space only to find that they can't afford to make the 
> > purchase.  They end up using CGNAT or some other sub-optimal solution.
> > 
> > Bill, regarding your point "B", by providing IPv4 leasing, these 3rd 
> > parties are 
> > certainly performing a function that ARIN does not.
> > 
> > 
> > 
> > ---- On Thu, 10 Mar 2022 17:46:36 -0500 *William Herrin <b...@herrin.us>* 
> > wrote ----
> > 
> >     On Wed, Mar 9, 2022 at 8:24 PM ARIN <i...@arin.net 
> > <mailto:i...@arin.net>>
> >     wrote:
> >      > * ARIN-2021-6: Permit IPv4 Leased Addresses for Purposes of 
> > Determining
> >     Utilization for Future Allocations
> > 
> >     I continue to OPPOSE this proposal because:
> > 
> >     A) It asks ARIN to facilitate blatant and unapologetic rent-seeking
> >     behavior with changes to public policy.
> > 
> >     B) It proposes that third parties perform precisely and only the
> >     functions that ARIN itself performs without any credible compliance
> >     mechanism to assure the third party performs to ARIN's standards or in
> >     accordance with the community's established number policy.
> > 
> >     Regards,
> >     Bill Herrin
> > 
> > 
> >     -- 
> >     William Herrin
> >     b...@herrin.us <mailto:b...@herrin.us>
> >     https://bill.herrin.us/ <https://bill.herrin.us/>
> >     _______________________________________________
> >     ARIN-PPML
> >     You are receiving this message because you are subscribed to
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> > 
> > 
> > 
> > 
> > _______________________________________________
> > ARIN-PPML
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> 
> -- 
> John Santos
> Evans Griffiths & Hart, Inc.
> 781-861-0670 ext 539
> _______________________________________________
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>  
> -- 
> ===============================================
> David Farmer               Email:far...@umn.edu
> Networking & Telecommunication Services
> Office of Information Technology
> University of Minnesota   
> 2218 University Ave SE        Phone: 612-626-0815
> Minneapolis, MN 55414-3029   Cell: 612-812-9952
> =============================================== 
> 
> 
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