>Has anyone seen more of this analysis or any of the data?
>
>
>Unfortunately, more than a few Florida votes were also affected. An
>examination of past Republican presidential votes by county in Florida from
>1988 to 2000 shows that while total votes declined, the Republican voting
>rate in the western panhandle was significantly suppressed relative to the
>non-Republican vote. The 4 percent greater reduction in Republican votes
>averages about 1,000 votes per county, 10,000 Republican votes for all 10
>counties in the western Panhandle. This holds true even after accounting for
>the average differences in voting rates across counties as well as the
>changes in voting rates from one election to another.
>
>This conservative estimate of 10,000 votes is more than the any additional
>votes that Gore might pick up from the manual recounts in counties like Palm
>Beach, Boward, and Dade.
I brought this up at lunch at Brookings today and the response from Tom Mann was
incredulity. He claims that the polls were only open for another 10 minutes after the
early call and wants to know how Lott thinks that it could have had that big an
effect. -- Bill Dickens
