"Build-up" has two meanings in this context. 1)Politicians could
send a series of signals to win small groups of voters. 2) Politicians
could send a series of signals to large group of voters who need
repeated re-assurances that the politician really means what he
says. Ie, build up of votes vs. build up of perception. My claim is that
the adoption of campaign issues a) does not build up the # of  votes
because the class of people for whom this is the most pressing issue is
small and b) if you try to build up perception on the adoption issue,
there is a very good chance you will get whacked because adoption workers
can easily mobilize to change public opinion, since they are recognized
experts on adoption.

> And the point of sending that low cost signal is to ... get more votes! 
> And if you send a lot of them, that adds up.  

> > care if you bash a rap musician. Same for the community investment
> > act (I forget what this even is). I'd guess that few people
> > are explicitely against it, and it's a cheap way to signal to
> > political moderates that urban issues won't be forgotten by
> > either Gore or Bush.
> 
> So do the political moderates care or not?!

A little. You claim Gore/Bush made a big deal over the Community act,
although I see very little compared to other issues. I think they could
care less.
  
> Translation: Pre-public debate, the median voter wants a different
> policy; post-public debate, the median voter will want the status quo? 
> That's an interesting story, but it's different from your earlier ones.
>                         Prof. Bryan Caplan                

Incorrect interpretation of what I said. My claim was that adoption
workers are well established authorities over adoption, thus it requires
effort to combat them. I also claimed that because they are well
established experts, they can smear politicians, imposing high costs
over them. They change the terms of the debate from "does the child
have a home?" to "are we breaking up black families and damaging
the child's identity?" 

This is NOT a claim about changing preferences, it's a claim that  
adoption workers are quite able to change the terms of the debate.

I know economists are genetically incapable of understanding the role
that rhetoric plays in politics, but adoption is a great example.
If you ask a voter if a black orphans should have white parents when
there aren't enough black parenets, they'd say yes. If you ask a voter
whether black orphan's personality be messed up because his white
parents can't relate to him, then many will say no.

A lot of politics is jockeying for the median voter, but remember 
that the median voter is defined by preferences defined over a set
of issues. But of course, you can always try to argue with what the
choices are, and that's what I'm talking about.

Fabio


Reply via email to