> Well, it's that time of the year when Nobel Prizes are announced. Last year > I was half-correct in predicting that Janet Yellen would win but the > rainmakers in Oslo decided to go with her husband George Akerlof. This year > I will go out on a limb and predict that the field of experimental economics > will be recognized with the pioneers Vernon Smith and Charlie Plott reaping > top awards. Honorable Mention - William Baumol.
I have never predicted a Nobel Prize correctly, but I am guessing Oliver Williamson and Armen Alchian. Alas, this guess is like Samuel Johnson's thinking on second marriages: the triumph of hope over experience. I also worked out that I correctly predicted only three of the last eight presidential elections (including the notoriously difficult to guess '84 election), so I should probably just give up on predictions before I really embarrass the profession. By the way, the web site says that the prize will be announced today at 3:30 today (at the earliest), which is 9:30 on the US east coast. Still a bit of time to see some better predictions than mine. Bill Sjostrom +++++++++++++ William Sjostrom Senior Lecturer Department of Economics National University of Ireland, Cork Cork, Ireland +353-21-490-2091 (work) +353-21-427-3920 (fax) +353-21-463-4056 (home) [EMAIL PROTECTED] [EMAIL PROTECTED] www.ucc.ie/~sjostrom/ http://atlanticblog.blogspot.com
