Steve Herman, 610 Sewall Ave, AP
____________________________________
From: r...@tristatestormwatch.com
To: asburyst...@aol.com
Sent: 10/28/2012 8:05:51 A.M. Eastern Daylight Time
Subj: Storm Update - October 28th
Approaching StormSEVERE STORM/SANDY TO EFFECT OUR AREA TODAY THROUGH
TUESDAY
HURRICANE SANDY WILL DO THE UNHEARD OF....MAKE LANDFALL IN NEW JERSEY
FROM THE EAST
HURRICANE FORCE WIND GUSTS, HEAVY RAIN AND
DAMAGING COASTAL FLOODING FOR MULTIPLE HIGH TIDES PARTICULARLY ON MONDAY
RECORD HIGH TIDE POSSIBLE MONDAY EVENING IN MONMOUTH AND OCEAN COUNTIES
SUNDAY - OCTOBER 28TH - 7AM
A historic and damaging coastal storm/Hurricane Sandy will be impacting
our area today through Tuesday.
All computer forecast guidance indicates that Sandy will make landfall in
New Jersey from the due east somewhere between central Ocean County and
New York Harbor on Monday evening.
This storm will have higher winds and a much higher degree of coastal
flooding than was experienced with Hurricane Irene a year ago.
Coastal flood guidance is indicating a record high tide in Monmouth and
Ocean Counties on Monday evening. At Sandy Hook, tidal records date back to
the 1940s and the forecast for the Monday evening high tide is 1 to 2 feet
higher than the record high tide from Hurricane Donna in 1960. Further
south along the NJ coast, coastal flooding will be major but perhaps not
record setting because winds may back to offshore just prior to the Monday
evening high tide.
The storm is forecast to make landfall with a minimum central pressure of
between 947mb and 954mb. It is worth noting that the records for lowest
barometric pressure is all locations in New Jersey is in the upper 950s to
low 960s. A pressure of 950mb equates to 28.05 inches.....on some home
barometers the reading does not go that low and in the ones that do, the
needle will be pointing downward.
Rain will begin throughout the area Sunday evening and continue into
Tuesday. Rainfall amounts of 4 to 8 inches are likely.
Northeast are currently on the increase. By Monday morning, northeast
winds will be 20 to 35 mph with gusts to 50mph. During the day on Monday
winds will gust to between 60 mph and 80 mph along the coast and 50 mph to 70
mph inland. Winds will subside for a time on Monday evening before
increasing again from the south and southwest. Winds will gradually decrease
on
Tuesday as the storm moves slowly inland.
These high winds will result in tree damage and widespread power outages
throughout the area. Because Sandy will be affecting a large area of the
northeast, power outages could be lengthy.
Coastal flooding continues to be a big concern. The Sunday evening high
tide will see minor coastal flooding. The Monday morning high tide will
have moderate coastal flooding. It is the Monday evening high tide around
8:00 p.m. that is forecast to be record setting in many areas. As Sandy
moves from east to west into the shoreline, the onshore flow will result in
tides of 6 to 8 feet above normal on Monday evening
There is the likelihood for major damage or destruction of boardwalks,
piers, pavilions or any structure right on the immediate coast. Flooding in
back bays will likely exceed all historical flooding benchmarks. All
storm drainage systems will be ineffective in discharging rainwater due to the
high tides and many or all coastal lakes will overflow. Sand will be
deposited hundreds of feet inland from wind and wave action.
>From a coastal flooding aspect, this situation can not be compared to any
other storm. This is an unprecedented scenario. Heed the directions and
advise from your local emergency management office.
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Tri-State Storm Watch 1234 Any Street Shark River Hills NJ USA
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