http://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/OPINION/Editorial/LEADER_ARTICLE_Journey_To_Nowhere/articleshow/msid-1208223,curpg-1.cms
LEADER ARTICLE:
Journey To Nowhere

Sanjib Baruah
One does not have to spare words to condemn the atrocities against 
Hindi-speaking migrant labourers by ULFA. But it is far from obvious that the 
politics of condemnation produces the best public policy. The government's 
knee-jerk response so far -- tougher counter-insurgency operations -- is not 
exactly a sign of thoughtful policy-making.

There is hardly a word on why this approach would work this time, and how 
exactly it would pave the road to a peaceful Assam. One would have thought that 
after the failures of past policies our key decision-makers would be asked to 
provide some justification for why 'more of the same' would work this time.

US president George Bush might wish that he were as lucky vis-à-vis his Iraq 
policy. There is little room in the Indian style of decision-making on the 
north-east for accountability and for learning from policy mistakes. Are the 
principal perpetrators the only ones responsible for the atrocity in Upper 
Assam?

British philosopher Ted Honderich makes the case for apportioning 
responsibility for atrocities between those who supply the necessary conditions 
and the final agents. International jurisprudence on crimes against humanity is 
premised on this notion of accountability.

But by concentrating on the perpetrators, the politics of condemnation lets 
every one else bureaucrats, politicians and military men off the hook and 
permits ostrich-like behaviour vis-a-vis policy failures.
Perhaps a domestic equivalent of a system to try crimes against humanity would 
produce more accountability in our north-east policy and a less knee-jerk style 
of decision-making.

It is about time we acknowledge that there is something dreadfully wrong with 
our north-east policy and think beyond the crude carrot and stick approach 
blame insurgents and the ISI and on the carrot side, spend huge amounts of 
money in the name of development and complain about corruption.

India has a dreadful record of resolving internal armed conflicts. Internal 
civil wars in South Asia are unusually protracted. Studies have found that a 
much larger percentage of such conflicts go on for more than 10 years in our 
part of the world than the global average.

The nearly five-decades-old Naga war is one of the longest wars in the world. 
There is now a virtual revolution in the academic study of armed conflicts.

But we have insulated ourselves from those insights by adopting a closed-door 
approach to foreign scholarship. Thus on north-east India on which some of the 
classics of anthropology were written before Independence, there is almost no 
major work by a foreign scholar since Independence.
 
This is not because of a lack of interest, but our restrictive policy on 
research visas. It is hard to avoid the impression that the fear about the 
'foreign hand' causing trouble is only an excuse. A desire to avoid an 
unfavourable comparison of our record of conflict resolution in the north-east 
may better explain this paranoia.

On those rare occasions when foreign observers have looked at north-east 
India's predicament, their diagnosis and policy prescriptions have been 
radically different from those of our security and development establish-ments. 
Consider a report done last year by the World Bank not exactly a bastion of 
radicalism.

It describes the region as "a victim of a low-level equilibrium where poverty 
and lack of development (compared with the remainder of India and other South 
East Asian nations), lead to civil conflict, lack of belief in political 
leadership and government, and, therefore, to a politically unstable situation.

This in turn leads to further barriers to poverty reduction, accelerated 
development and growth". The report does not say that spending more money for 
development or greater militarisation are the answers to this condition.

Instead it sees institutional arrangements as the major obstacle to utilising 
the region's vast water resources for sustainable development. Our highly 
centralised approach, it finds, suffers from "the paternalism of central-level 
bureaucrats, coercive top-down planning, and little support or feedback from 
locals".
 
Local stakeholders in north-east India have such distrust of these centralised 
structures that no one believes that developmental initiatives are actually 
meant for bringing about real benefits.

So deep is the mistrust that the study team found to its astonishment that even 
an embankment project designed to benefit the people of an area, is opposed by 
its intended beneficiaries.

This is the cumulative legacy of five decades of bad policy. The World Bank 
study was done in collaboration with government's Department of Development of 
North Eastern Region. Yet there is little interest in focusing on this aspect 
of the report on the part of our bureaucrats.

The report warns of the dangers of path dependency of being locked into bad 
choices even when better alternatives are quite obvious. It calls for "strong 
political will to counteract the tendency of a society to follow the path it 
has already taken due to the political or financial costs of changing it".

This applies not just to managing water resources: but to our entire approach 
to the north-east. We need to ask some hard questions about how we have come to 
this point, recognise errors in old policy and begin the process of rectifying 
those mistakes.
The politics of condemnation currently shaping the response to ULFA's 
atrocities is only the latest illustration of a dysfunctional policy process 
that stands in the way of a radical course reversal needed to bring about peace 
and prosperity to the north-east.

The writer is currently at IIT, Guwahati.
 


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