Re: Corona Virus: is it the beginning of the end?
@5
The thing about closing borders and lockdowns is that if everyone closes their borders as fast as possible, the world is going to go into a serious recession at best, a full-on depression at worst. Countries have no choice but to wait until the last minute to do it. And though people don't really like to think of it as such, full-on recession and/or depression also kills people.
@11
If you mean panic as in Italy, that's 100% justified. Pandemics are exponential if not checked. Say what you want about China (and I certainly could say a lot), but China having only 100000 people infected was a miracle as far as these things go.
The coronavirus in the U.S. seems to be doubling every 4 days or so based off my unscientific following of the news. That means that with current policy, the U.S. will have 128000 cases by the end of April. I haven't yet seen a good number w.r.t. the actual transmission rates; I don't think anyone has one yet.
But by the time you're Italy at 10000 cases, panic is definitely warranted from a governmental perspective.
We aren't even close to i.e. the Spanish Flu. It's not world-ending or even close. But no one is overreacting at the governmental level. But I do think individuals are, at least in the U.S., where freaking out about it is premature for the time being (but ask me again in 2 weeks, as we continue to mismanage all of this, and I will likely have a different opinion).
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