Re: Discussion of the 2020 American Federal Election
I just ran some statistical calculations using empirical probability to determine how likely voter fraud was. According to dictionary.com, there have been approximately 250 million votes submitted by mail. Out of those 250 million votes, 1,285 votes were ruled as fraudulent, and 1,100 of those voters were charged with a crime. Therefore, empirical probability says that:
1285/250000000=257/50000000=0.00000514=0.000514 percent probability that a vote will be fraudulent.
1100/1285=220/257=0.8560=85.60 percent probability that a fraudulent voter will be charged with voter fraud.
Source: https://www.dictionary.com/e/absentee-b … -in-ballot
Therefore, for anyone who still believes that voter fraud occurred this election, let the math show that the probability of such a thing happening is so low as to be improbable with the data at my disposal. Obviously, I don't have exact numbers, so the probability may be slightly higher or lower, but its around 0.000514 percent, and even if either number (number of fraudulent votes legally proven to be fraudulent and total number of votes cast by mail) were to raise the probability would not change much because there's a certain point where numbers like this begin to level out and very little change is observed.
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