It turns out that you don't want to be a former city dweller in rural
parts of southernmost Australia, a stalk of wheat in China or Iraq, a
soybean in Argentina, an almond or grape in northern California, a
cow in Texas, or almost anything in parts of east Africa right now.
Let me explain.
As anyone who has turned on the prime-time TV news these last weeks
knows, southeastern Australia has been burning up. It's already dry
climate has been growing ever hotter. "The great drying," Australian
environmental scientist Tim Flannery calls it. At its epicenter,
Melbourne recorded its hottest day ever this month at a sweltering
115.5 degrees, while temperatures soared even higher in the
surrounding countryside. After more than a decade of drought,
followed by the lowest rainfall on record, the eucalyptus forests are
now burning. To be exact, they are now pouring vast quantities of
stored carbon dioxide, the greenhouse gas considered largely
responsible for global warming, into the atmosphere.
In fact, everything's been burning there. Huge sheets of flame,
possibly aided and abetted by arsonists, tore through whole towns.
More than 180 people are dead and thousands homeless. Flannery, who
has written eloquently about global warming, drove through the fire
belt, and reported:
"It was as if a great cremation had taken place... I was born in
Victoria, and over five decades I've watched as the state has
changed. The long, wet and cold winters that seemed insufferable to
me as a boy vanished decades ago, and for the past 12 years a new,
drier climate has established itself... I had not appreciated the
difference a degree or two of extra heat and a dry soil can make to
the ferocity of a fire. This fire was different from anything seen before."
Australia, by the way, is a wheat-growing breadbasket for the world
and its wheat crops have been hurt in recent years by continued drought.
Meanwhile, central China is experiencing the worst drought in half a
century. Temperatures have been unseasonably high and rainfall, in
some areas, 80% below normal; more than half the country's provinces
have been affected by drought, leaving millions of Chinese and their
livestock without adequate access to water. In the region which
raises 95% of the country's winter wheat, crop production has already
been impaired and is in further danger without imminent rain. All of
this represents a potential financial catastrophe for Chinese farmers
at a moment when about 20 million migrant workers are estimated to
have lost their jobs in the global economic meltdown. Many of those
workers, who left the countryside for China's booming cities (and
remitted parts of their paychecks to rural areas), may now be headed
home jobless to potential disaster. A Wall Street Journal report
concludes, "Some scientists warn China could face more frequent
droughts as a result of global warming and changes in farming patterns."
<http://www.zcommunications.org/znet/viewArticle/20604>Link
--
Posted By johannes to
<http://www.monochrom.at/english/2009/02/burning-questions-what-does-economic.htm>monochrom
at 2/25/2009 04:10:00 PM