Will Manmohan acknowledge the Modi model? 

Mr Narendra Modi has turned Gujarat into a major success story. The Prime 
Minister should acknowledge this at the India Economic Summit, says T.C.A. 
SRINIVASA-RAGHAVAN.


Tomorrow the Prime Minister will inaugurate the World Economic Forum’s India 
Economic Summit. Lots of businessmen from all over the world will be present. 
They will listen attentively to him because they will be looking for ways to 
make money here by investing here. After all, India is the still the second 
fastest growing economy in the world after China. 

But before investing they will want to be sure that India is safe and stable. 
The Prime Minister will surely convey this to them. And in a constitutional and 
electoral sense, India is indeed very stable. Elections are held, and 
governments come and go in an orderly fashion. 

Global firms, however, tend to take a very long-term view of their investments 
and go beyond parliamentary majorities. So they also look for potential 
fault-lines that can become source of losses much later. India has several of 
these. Some are international and some are purely of our own making. About the 
former, India can do little than to bank on the US to help. But over the latter 
the Government has very substantial control. 

Potential fault-lines 


Broadly, these internal fault-lines fall in three categories – socio-economic, 
socio-political and those that lie on the tangent between the two. These last 
are the hardest to resolve as the Naxal problem shows. Paradoxically, 
foreigners are likely to trust the Government most on the third category as 
they, too, would see it largely as a law-and-order problem. 

How the first two fault-lines are addressed by any Government depends in the 
final analysis on the political dividend it sees in the manner of addressing 
them. Thus, since there was a clear political gain to be had from putting more 
money into the pockets of farmers, UPA-I transferred close to Rs 500,000 crore 
and won the 2009 election. 

This was partly done, as my colleague Harish Damodaran pointed out on Friday, 
by changing the terms of trade in favour of agriculture by raising the minimum 
support prices repeatedly between 2004 and 2008. In 2004, the MSP for wheat was 
Rs 640; now it is Rs 1,100. The same order of increase can be seen for paddy as 
well.

Thus, solutions to socio-economic problems reduce themselves eventually to 
money. The latest example of this is the Government decision to use 
disinvestment funds for the social sector. This was as announced on Thursday. 

Social division 


But it is the second category, the socio-political one, which is likely to 
worry foreigners most because it has very deep roots, which, moreover, are 
watered from time to time by the major and not so major upheavals. At the heart 
of this problem lies a religion-based social division which most Indians turn a 
blind eye to at the collective level, but which they nurture very assiduously 
at the individual level. 

Or, as economists would say, this is a classic example where the maximisation 
of individual utilities does not maximise social utility. One, therefore, hopes 
that when he speaks tomorrow, the Prime Minister will reassure foreign 
businessmen on this score. 

What he needs to do (but won’t) is to tell the gathering that the Congress has 
adopted the Narendra Modi model of development because success anywhere is 
worth emulating. The Modi model consists, at its core, of ensuring that the 
Government works for the people and not against them. 

The success of Gujarat today is the result of just this one thing. The Modi 
government does its best not to get in the way and ensures that the bureaucracy 
and service-delivery employees of the Gujarat government pay attention to all 
the small things that make a difference to peoples’ lives.

Modi model 


Thus, to give just one example, Mr Modi was told that cattle become more 
vulnerable to disease during the summer. So he has made sure that his 
veterinary department is not sitting in comfortable offices in the summer but 
is out in the countryside ensuring that the cattle are properly inoculated. 
There are hundreds of examples of this sort of thing that need replicating, 
instead of bleating that funds are needed and complaining that the delivery 
mechanism is inadequate or inefficient.

The Modi Model shows two other things. One is that success lies in ensuring 
that those who are being paid to do something do it and do it properly. How is 
it that Mr Modi is able to get the employees of his State government to work 
more efficiently and effectively than the other Chief Ministers are? 

The third element in Mr Modi’s success is the reduction in the demands for 
speed money by the bureaucracy. Government employees (being what they are) 
probably do take bribes in Gujarat as well. But, from all accounts, the 
incidence is far less. Why?

An open acknowledgement from a Congress prime minister of a BJP chief 
minister’s success — and that too Narendra Modi — ought to happen. The Prime 
Minister is wise enough to understand that a WEF forum is not an election rally 
in Moradabad or Malda. The objective should be to send out the message to 
foreigners that, whatever be the differences in approach between the Congress 
and the BJP to social issues, when it comes to growth, the social fault-lines 
do not matter. 

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