Inside Risks 186, CACM 48, 12, December 2005

Wikipedia Risks

Peter Denning, Jim Horning, David Parnas, and Lauren Weinstein

The Wikipedia (WP, http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wikipedia";) applies the 
wiki technology (from a Hawaiian word for ``quick'') to the 
encyclopedia, a venerable form of knowledge organization and 
dissemination. Wikipedia provides a fast and flexible way for anyone to 
create and edit encyclopedia articles without the delay and intervention 
of a formal editor or review process.

The WP's over 750,000 articles are written and edited by volunteers. WP 
founder Jimmy Wales believes WP's free, open, and largely unregulated 
process will evolve toward an Enclopedia Britannica or better quality. 
But will this process actually yield a reliable, authoritative reference 
encompassing the entire range of human knowledge?

Opinions are mixed. WP claims to be the most popular reference site on 
the Internet. It has been hailed as the quintessence of the ``wisdom of 
crowds'' (an allusion to James Surowiecki's 2004 book of the same 
title), as a model of democratized information, and as a nail in the 
coffin of the ``stodgy old commercial encyclopedia''.

Others are concerned about the reliability of an uncontrolled reference 
work that may include any number of purposeful or accidental 
inaccuracies. Some observers wonder why anyone would accept information 
from anonymous strangers of unknown qualifications. WP's first editor in 
chief, Larry Sanger, believes that an anti-expertise bias among 
``Wikipedians'' foreshadows the death of accuracy in scholarship. (``Why 
Wikipedia Must Jettison its Anti-Elitism,'' Dec. 31, 2004, 
http://www.kuro5hin.org/story/2004/12/30/142458/25). Robert McHenry, 
former editor of Encyclopedia Britannica, is even more blunt in 
asserting that the community-accretion process of Wikipedia is 
fundamentally incapable of rising to a high standard of excellence 
(``The Faith based encyclopedia'', 
http://www.techcentralstation.com/111504A.html).

Regardless of which side you're on, relying on Wikipedia presents 
numerous risks:

* Accuracy: You cannot be sure which information is accurate and which 
is not. Misinformation has a negative value; even if you get it for 
free, you've paid too much.

* Motives: You cannot know the motives of the contributors to an 
article. They may be altruists, political or commercial opportunists, 
practical jokers, or even vandals (WP: ``Wikipedia:Most_vandalized_pages'').

* Uncertain Expertise: Some contributors exceed their expertise and 
supply speculations, rumors, hearsay, or incorrect information. It is 
difficult to determine how qualified an article's contributors are; the 
revision histories often identify them by pseudonyms, making it hard to 
check credentials and sources.

* Volatility: Contributions and corrections may be negated by future 
contributors. One of the co-authors of this column found it 
disconcerting that he had the power to independently alter the Wikipedia 
article about himself and negate the others' opinions. Volatility 
creates a conundrum for citations: Should you cite the version of the 
article that you read (meaning that those who follow your link may miss 
corrections and other improvements), or the latest version (which may 
differ significantly from the article you saw)?

* Coverage: Voluntary contributions largely represent the interests and 
knowledge of a self-selected set of contributors. They are not part of a 
careful plan to organize human knowledge. Topics that interest the young 
and Internet-savvy are well-covered, while events that happened ``before 
the Web'' may be covered inadequately or inaccurately, if at all. More 
is written about current news than about historical knowledge.

* Sources: Many articles do not cite independent sources. Few articles 
contain citations to works not digitized and stored in the open Internet.

The foregoing effects can pollute enough information to undermine trust 
in the work as a whole. The WP organizers are aware of some of these 
risks, acknowledging that ``Wikipedia contains no formal peer review 
process for fact-checking, and the editors themselves may not be 
well-versed in the topics they write about.'' The organizers have 
established a background editorial process to mitigate some of the 
risks. Still, no one stands formally behind the authenticity and 
accuracy of any information in WP. There is no mechanism for 
subject-matter authorities to review and vouch for articles. There are 
no processes to ferret out little-known facts and include them, or to 
ensure that the full range of human knowledge, past and present, is 
represented.

The Wikipedia is an interesting social experiment in knowledge 
compilation and codification. However, it cannot attain the status of a 
true encyclopedia without more formal content inclusion and expert 
review procedures.

The authors are members of the ACM Committee on Computers and Public Policy.

http://www.csl.sri.com/users/neumann/insiderisks05.html#186

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