Everyone,

I've been watching Hurricane Frances for over a week now, thinking that
it might track towards the Great Lakes.  Forecasters commented that the
path is quite similar to last year's Hurricane Isabel, but has been
tracking a bit south and west of last years storm.  As everyone will no
doubt remember, last year the remnents of Hurricane Isabel hit Lake Erie
and gave us a bonanza of interesting birds.

The most up-to-date prediction for the path of Hurricane Frances is found
at the following site (you may have to piece this link together if it
separates into two lines).  Note also that you can enlarge the map by
hitting the icon on the bottom right-hand corner.

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/ftp/graphics/AT06/refresh/AL0604W5+GIF/031543W5.g
if

The remnants of Hurricane Frances is projected to track into the western
basin of Lake Erie.  If it does track to Lake Erie, it should arrive
early on Thursday morning.

Here are some things to consider when looking for hurricane birds:

-- the most productive period is often 2-5 days after the storm has
passed
-- good birds can continue to be found 2 weeks after the storm
-- the most productive areas tend to be to the east of the storm's centre
-- onshore winds are a good bet
-- regularly walking various beaches can often produce some amazing
specimens (be sure to collect these via freezing, and arrange for their
delivery to a museum such as the ROM)

One never knows what such storms can bring -- sometimes there's a lot,
but other times there's nothing at all.  

Perhaps nothing will come of this storm, but its worth getting ready!

Alan Wormington,
Leamington



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Date: 03 Sep 2004 06:09:07 -0400
Subject: [Ontbirds]HSR: SMRR- Lake Erie Metropark (03 Sep 2004) 21 Raptors
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SMRR- Lake Erie Metropark
Michigan, USA
Daily Raptor Counts: Sep 03, 2004
-------------------------------------------------------------------

Species            Day's Count    Month Total   Season Total
------------------ ----------- -------------- --------------
Black Vulture                0              0              0
Turkey Vulture               0             52             52
Osprey                       4             28             28
Bald Eagle                   0              7              7
Northern Harrier             1             25             25
Sharp-shinned Hawk          13             43             43
Cooper's Hawk                0              6              6
Northern Goshawk             0              0              0
Red-shouldered Hawk          0              0              0
Broad-winged Hawk            0            135            135
Red-tailed Hawk              0             11             11
Rough-legged Hawk            0              0              0
Golden Eagle                 0              0              0
American Kestrel             2             19             19
Merlin                       1              3              3
Peregrine Falcon             0              0              0
Unknown                      0              0              0

Total:                      21            329            329
----------------------------------------------------------------------

Observation start time: 07:00:00 
Observation end   time: 14:15:00 
Total observation time: 7.25 hours

Official Counter: Calvin Brennan

Observers:        Fred Kirn, Raburn Howland

Weather:
Today was hot and humid with little wind early in the day. By late morning
a moderate breeze from the southeast kicked up. Clouds continued to build
from the south in the afternoon in advance of the thundershowers predicted
for this evening. Visibility throughout the day was poor. 

Observations:
The hawk flight as might be expected under such conditions was minimal with
only 21 birds of 5 species recorded. 



Highlighting the day was the arrival of an Olive-sided Flycatcher at
midday, which hung out around a large snag west of the count area for the
remainder of the afternoon.

========================================================================
Report submitted by Calvin Brennan ([EMAIL PROTECTED])
SMRR- Lake Erie Metropark information may be found at:
http://www.smrr.net/

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