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>I don't understand the situation here.  Is the assumption of a group of
>miners suddenly switching (for example, they realise that they didn't
>intend to support the new rules)?

Or they're economically rational miners, and a large difficulty decrease on the 
original chain, without an equally large decrease in the value of original 
chain tokens, has made it profitable to switch?

It's dangerous to assume all miners will continue to support the side they have 
initially signaled. They're only invested in the chain they mine for a short 
time (until coinbase maturity.)

If both sides if a fork retain value you'd expect mining to redistribute itself 
WRT short term profitability at every difficulty adjustment, irrespective of 
initially signaled support for the fork.
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