Good morning Michael,

> Nothing in a dynamic system like PoW mining can be 100% anticipated, for 
> example there might be advanced in manufacturing of chips which are patented 
> and so on. 
>
> It sounds like your take is that this means no improvements can ever be made 
> by any mechanism, however conservative.

Not at all.

Small-enough improvements over long-enough periods of time are expected and 
anticipated --- that is why there exists a difficulty adjustment mechanism.
What is risky if a large-enough improvement over a short-enough time that 
overwhelms the difficulty adjustment mechanism.
ASICBOOST was a massive enough improvement that it could be argued to 
potentially overwhelm this mechanism if it was not openly allowed for all 
miners.

>
> We do go into a fair amount of detail about Minimum Effective Hardness in our 
> paper https://assets.pubpub.org/xi9h9rps/01581688887859.pdf , which is 
> actually a special case of hardness that we invented for the context of 
> adding an operation to a PoW, and how it applies to random matrix mults.   

This certainly helps as well.

Regards,
ZmnSCPxj
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