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First Read: The day in politics by NBC News for NBC News
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FIRST THOUGHTS: The stakes for Palin
ST. LOUIS -- As NBC/WSJ co-pollster Peter Hart put it during the Palin bounce,
when her poll numbers were sky-high, "The faster the rise, the steeper the
descent." And given what has transpired in the past couple of weeks, including
most recently Palin's Supreme Court answer to Katie Couric, perhaps no truer
words have been spoken. But if what goes up must come down, is the opposite
true -- what comes down must go up? The McCain campaign certainly hopes so. And
tonight's VP debate comes at a good time for the McCain campaign, because it
provides an opportunity to change the subject. Yet as we said earlier in the
week, for Palin at least, the debate isn't about moving poll numbers; it's
about saving her political future. Let's face it: After what has happened in
the past two weeks, Palin needs a solid performance against Biden to be taken
seriously as a major political figure, let alone a heartbeat away from the
presidency. Tonight is about one person, Sarah Palin. If for some reason the
post-debate chatter isn't about Palin, then Biden had himself one bad night.
*** As For Biden.: While we're certain that Palin will be the center of
attention tonight, we're just as certain Biden is probably going to make a
gaffe. But Biden's gaffes -- so far -- have been eclipsed by Palin's interview
performances simply because the Senate Foreign Relations Committee chairman has
seemed to pass a commander-in-chief threshold with voters. In fact, it's the
same reason that McCain's "Sunni-Shiite" and Zapatero gaffes didn't get as much
attention as would have been the case had Obama (or Palin) had said them.
Still, the chattering class' advice for Biden tonight is the same as the advice
for Palin: Don't be your stereotype.
*** The Skinny: Biden and Palin face off in their first -- and only (barring a
challenge from say Palin for more debates?!?!) -- debate from Washington
University at St. Louis beginning at 9:00 pm ET. At the 90-minute debate
moderated by Gwen Ifill of PBS, the two running mates will speak from lecterns
and address questions on domestic and foreign policy. Also, it won't be as
freewheeling as last week's presidential debate: Biden and Palin will have 90
seconds to respond to questions, followed by two minutes of discussion.
First Read with NBC News Political Director Chuck Todd, every weekday on
MSNBC-TV at 9 a.m. ET.
For more: The latest edition of First Read is available now at
http://www.FirstRead.MSNBC.com !
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