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First Read: The day in politics by NBC News for NBC News
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FIRST THOUGHTS: Don't believe the hype 
ST. LOUIS -- As many had said, last night's debate was about one person, Sarah 
Palin. And for those tuning in wondering if we'd see a train wreck between 
Palin's inexperience and Joe Biden's verbosity, well, we didn't get it. Palin 
started strong and proved to be a folksy cliché machine, which probably came 
across as extremely charming to some, particularly to Republicans who sound 
relieved this morning. She lit up the screen at times with her smile and 
occasional winks. She proved extremely adept at avoiding questions or topics 
she didn't want to answer, which is the big difference between her fairly 
smooth performance last night and her near-disastrous performances in those 
one-on-one interviews. Perhaps more than anything else, Palin rehabilitated her 
image and probably stopped her image nosedive. And she came across as a better 
advocate for her candidate, John McCain, than Joe Biden was for his guy, Barack 
Obama. Biden, too often, defended his own record first before touting Obama's. 
By the way, if you got the sense during the debate that McCain was the center 
of the conversation and not Obama, that's because he was. By our count, McCain 
was referenced by name nearly twice as much as Obama. (Which may or may not be 
a good thing; after all, doesn't the McCain camp want Obama to be the 
referendum?)

*** As For Biden: He had a senator's grasp of the facts, and we mean that 
mostly as a compliment. But longtime Biden watchers could tell he was 
struggling with how to deal with her. He spent the first half of the debate on 
the defensive. It wasn't until the last half hour that Biden found his 
inner-Goldilocks and found the "just right" tone in dealing with Palin. In 
fact, Biden ratcheting up his seriousness and emotion may have made Palin's 
folksiness seem tonally off for a little bit toward the end. If Palin started 
strong, Biden proved to be the better closer. As we said yesterday, if Biden 
turned out to be the subject of post-debate chatter, then he had a bad night. 
As it turns out, he's not the story and the Obama campaign is satisfied with 
that even if the media elite is scoring this better for Palin than the 
insta-polls.

*** The Bottom Line: This debate was about Palin surviving and survive she did. 
Neither candidate committed a major gaffe, and there were probably no moments 
that will get replayed over and over. Indeed, the debate may have a shelf life 
of about 24 to 48 hours, and that's about it. We imagine this event quickly 
fades as attention today turns to the House vote on the bailout or next 
Tuesday's presidential debate. Palin did well enough to prevent the negative 
storyline that developed all day Thursday regarding McCain's chances in 
November. Had Palin stumbled badly, that news -- combined with the decision by 
the campaign to scale back its campaign in Michigan -- would have created a 
terrible storyline. Palin's solid performance on the style front prevented the 
worst outcome. But did it move the needle in a positive direction for McCain? 
Unlikely. At this point, the number of mega-game changing events for McCain are 
dwindling. And since he's the candidate trailing, that's not a good sign. The 
pressure is now on McCain next Tuesday to get his campaign back on track. Given 
the limited window McCain's facing, this likely means we should expect a very 
aggressive McCain in the remaining debates.

First Read with NBC News Political Director Chuck Todd, every weekday on 
MSNBC-TV at 9 a.m. ET.

For more: The latest edition of First Read is available now at
http://www.FirstRead.MSNBC.com !
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