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-in-senate-2008-10-26.html
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a-in-senate-2008-10-26.html>

Jesse Jackson Jr. hopes to replace Obama in Senate
By Alexander Bolton
Posted: 10/26/08 01:52 PM [ET]
Illinois political insiders say Rep. Jesse Jackson Jr., who defended
Barack Obama after his father famously threatened to castrate him, is
the favorite to replace the Democratic nominee in the Senate.

Jackson Jr. (D-Ill.) scolded his father, the Rev. Jesse Jackson,
publicly after his comments were caught unexpectedly on tape before an
interview with Fox News this summer.

But Jackson Jr.'s path is by no means assured. Rep. Jan Schakowsky
(D-Ill.) also wants to replace Sen. Obama (Ill.) in the upper chamber
if he is elected president.

This gives Illinois Gov. Rod Blagojevich, who must choose between an
African-American political scion and a close ally of the labor
movement, a difficult decision.

Jackson has made plain that he would like to succeed Obama in the Senate.

"If Sen. Obama wins -- and I'm optimistic that he will, I indeed would
be honored and humbled to succeed him in the U.S. Senate," said
Jackson in a statement. "But, in the end, the decision rests with Gov.
Blagojevich and I'm confident that he'll make an appointment in the
best interest of the state as well as the nation."

Jackson's case is strengthened by the fact that Obama is the only
African-American member of the Senate. Presumably, Obama would like to
see at least one African-American representative in the chamber.

Jackson also benefits from being co-chairman of Obama's presidential
campaign and a product of the same South Side Chicago political
machine from which the Democratic nominee emerged.

Illinois political insiders, who declined to discuss the subject on
the record for fear of appearing presumptuous before the results of
the presidential race are known, say Obama would have a major hand in
the decision.

But it's not a slam-dunk for Jackson. Blagojevich must pick a
candidate who can hold the seat in 2010, when the temporary two-year
appointment would expire.

Some Democratic strategists question whether Jackson can win statewide.

"Jesse Jackson doesn't make sense, he's not electable statewide," said
a Democratic operative with ties to Illinois. "He's a very
left-of-center politician."

Jackson supporters counter that he is no more liberal than Obama and
note that he enjoys the support of many Republicans in his district.

Democrats in Schakowsky's camp argue that she would run more
successfully in Southern Illinois and tout her strong ties to the
labor community. They also tout her energy and record of
accomplishment in Congress. She is one of Speaker Nancy Pelosi's
(D-Calif.) closer friends.

Rep. Rahm Emanuel (Ill.), the Democratic Caucus chairman, has also
been floated as a possible successor. But Emanuel and his staff have
given little indication that he's interested. Illinois political
observers interviewed by The Hill said they believe Emanuel would
prefer to climb the rungs of the House leadership.

Blagojevich may go outside the Illinois House delegation. One possible
candidate would be Tammy Duckworth, director of the Illinois
Department of Veterans' Affairs. Duckworth, who is Asian-American,
could serve as a compromise candidate on the race question.

Duckworth, an Iraq War veteran, could have appeal in
conservative-leaning Southern Illinois because of her military record.
She is also a protégé of Sen. Dick Durbin (D-Ill.), one of Obama's
most influential advisors.

Another possibility would be Emil Jones Jr., president of the Illinois
Senate, whom some Chicago insiders credit with Obama's rise through
the state chamber.

Two other Democratic governors, Ruth Ann Minner of Delaware and Janet
Napolitano, face similar quandaries depending on the outcome of the
Nov. 4 election.

If Obama is elected president and Sen. Joe Biden (D-Del.) accedes to
the vice presidency, Miner must appoint someone to fill Biden's seat.
Delaware political insiders say that Biden wants the seat, which he
has held since 1972, to go to his son, Beau Biden. The catch is that
Beau, the state's attorney general, is expected to be in Iraq with the
Army National Guard, if and when the

Biden resigns.

Miner must decide whether to appoint Biden's son outright or instead
pick a caretaker who would keep the seat warm and give it up
voluntarily at the end of the two-year temporary appointment. Just as
Obama in Illinois, Joe Biden is expected to have a big role in
choosing his successor, and he is widely expected to pave the way for
Beau, say several Delaware political experts who spoke on condition of
anonymity.

The person most frequently mentioned as a caretaker appointee is Myron
Steele, chief justice of the Delaware Supreme Court. Secretary of
State Harriet Smith Windsor is another candidate who is seen as
willing to make way for Beau in 2010.

Both Steele and Windsor are considered close to Joe Biden and viewed
as relatively uninterested in a long Senate career.

Miner could appoint Beau outright, although that may bring murmured
grumbles about nepotism. If the young Biden is not interested,
however, Lieutenant Gov. John Carney Jr., who lost the recent
gubernatorial primary, could be viable option, say Delaware insiders.

There's a slim chance that Miner's successor would make the pick. Her
term expires on Jan. 20, the same day the next president and vice
president of the U.S. are to be sworn in. If Biden waits until the
last possible moment to resign, the next governor of Delaware, most
likely Democratic state treasurer Jack Markell, would choose.

If John McCain, the GOP nominee, wins the White House, Napolitano
faces an even trickier decision in Arizona. Unlike most states,
Arizona law requires that Napolitano appoint someone from McCain's
party to fill his seat should he leave for the Oval Office.

Adding to the mix, Arizona political insiders speculate that
Napolitano would like to run for Senate when term limits force her
from office in 2010.

"If Sen. McCain were to resign, the governor would choose someone of
the same party to fill out the remainder of his term," said
spokeswoman Shilo Mitchell.

One Arizona strategist said it is therefore in Napolitano's interest
to appoint a Republican successor who would be vulnerable to defeat in
2010. She could appoint a friendly Republican who might be willing to
vacate the seat after two years, such as Kristin Mayes, whom
Napolitano tapped for the Arizona Corporation Commission in 2003.
Mayes, a lifelong Republican, once worked as Napolitano's
communications director.

-- 
"Usually when people are sad, they don't do anything. They just cry over
their condition. But when they get angry, they bring about a change."
- Malcolm X, Malcolm X Speaks, 1965

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