Hi Jeremy,

> On Mar 13, 2023, at 16:08, Jeremy Austin <jer...@aterlo.com> wrote:
> 
> 
> 
> On Mon, Mar 13, 2023 at 3:02 AM Sebastian Moeller via Starlink 
> <starl...@lists.bufferbloat.net> wrote:
> Hi Dan,
> 
> 
> > On Jan 9, 2023, at 20:56, dan via Rpm <r...@lists.bufferbloat.net> wrote:
> >
> >  You don't need to generate the traffic on a link to measure how
> > much traffic a link can handle.
> 
>         [SM] OK, I will bite, how do you measure achievable throughput 
> without actually generating it? Packet-pair techniques are notoriously 
> imprecise and have funny failure modes.
> 
> I am also looking forward to the full answer to this question. While one can 
> infer when a link is saturated by mapping network topology onto latency 
> sampling, it can have on the order of 30% error, given that there are 
> multiple causes of increased latency beyond proximal congestion.

        So in the "autorates" a family of automatic tracking/setting methods 
for a cake shaper that (in friendly competition to each other) we use active 
measurements of RTT/OWD increases and there we try to vary our set of 
reflectors and then take a vote over a set of reflectors to decide "is it 
cake^W congestion", that helps to weed out a few alternative reasons for 
congestion detection (like distal congestion to individual reflectors). But 
that dies not answer the tricky question how to estimate capacity without 
actually creating a sufficient load (and doubly so on variable rate links).


> A question I commonly ask network engineers or academics is "How can I 
> accurately distinguish a constraint in suppl from a reduction in demand?"

        Good question. The autorates can not, but then they do not need to as 
they basically work by upping the shaper limit in correlation with the offered 
load until it detects sufficiently increased delay and reduces the shaper 
rates. A reduction n demand will lead to a reduction in load and bufferbloat... 
so the shaper is adapted based on the demand, aka "give the user as much 
thoughput as can be done within the users configured delay threshold, but not 
more"...

If we had a reliable method to "measure how much traffic a link can handle." 
without having to track load and delay that would save us a ton of work ;)

Regards
        Sebastian


> 
> -- 
> --
> Jeremy Austin
> Sr. Product Manager
> Preseem | Aterlo Networks
> preseem.com
> 
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> 
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