On Fri, Feb 14, 2003 at 04:10:58PM -0500, Jon Gabriel wrote:
> There is a 1/3 probability of getting the key with the box you have.  After 
> the warden shows you his box is empty, the probability of it being in the 
> other box becomes 2/3.  What I don't understand is why it doesn't now 
> become 1/2.

You guess incorrectly on 2/3 of the initial choices, so always switching
gets you the key 2/3 of the time.


-- 
"Erik Reuter" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>       http://www.erikreuter.net/
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