--- "John D. Giorgis" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote: > I haven't yet commented on the 2004 Elections here > on the Brin-L List.....
<snipped most> > First, while the old cliche goes that you should > never make the mistake of > re-fighting the last election.... I think that > cliche meets its maker this > year, as the 50-50 nation holds and a very tight > race ensues. And since > a Democratic blowout is nearly inconceivable against > an incumbent with a > solid economy, and a Bush blowout isn't any fun to > discuss, I'm going to > base the rest of my analysis on the assumption of a > close race, and my > general assumption of Dean as the nominee with > someone like Clark or Bob Graham as the VP. I also think that it will be a close race; having learned a bit about Kerry I think he'd be a good bet, but of course Dean does have that solid grass-roots base. Clark as VP also makes sense to me. I'm pulling for 2 of these 3 to be on the Dem ticket (but can't call it a prediction b/c I'm going with my gut ;} ). And of course I'm for a Dem win... :) > CO - Next time around, a massive influx of Hispanics > and suburbanites may > make Colorado competitive, but for now Bush holds > onto this core conservative State. Probably so; however ~70,000 jobs have been lost state-wide over the past 2 years (and since 1939 there had been job growth or stability), and bankruptcies were at an all-time high in 2003. The forecast is "modest improvement" in 2004. http://www.rockymountainnews.com/drmn/business/article/0,1299,DRMN_4_2566224,00.html "...Economists and industry leaders say it's clear that high-tech job cuts in Colorado have subsided compared with 2001 and 2002, when layoffs flowed like spring runoff and companies slashed hundreds of positions in one swipe. "The Denver area lost an estimated 13,000 to 20,000 net jobs in 2003, which is significantly lower than the 40,000 net decrease in 2002... "...And although the national economy is improving, it's not bringing jobs with it. Employers added just 1,000 jobs last month, way below the 100,000 to 150,000 analysts expected. And Colorado's unemployment rate is at 5.6 percent, up a bit over a year ago..." http://www.rockymountainnews.com/drmn/business/article/0,1299,DRMN_4_2508342,00.html "...The forecast for 1.5 percent job growth in the coming year will follow two years in which Colorado actually lost jobs - the first time that has occurred since the Bureau of Labor Statistics began tracking such data in 1939..." (This site has obvious bias, and their figure is higher -- 84K jobs lost in CO "since Bush took office" -- but I include it for those who've heard the higher number.) http://www.ourfuture.org/docUploads/DENVER%20FINAL%20JOBS%20SHEET.pdf http://www.denverpost.com/Stories/0,1413,36%257E33%257E1863913,00.html?search=filter "Colorado residents and companies filed a record number of bankruptcy cases in 2003, outstripping the previous year's tally by 21.3 percent. "Brad Bolton, clerk of the U.S. Bankruptcy Court's Colorado division, described Colorado's jump in cases from 21,260 in 2002 to 25,786 in 2003 as the highest percentage increase in the nation. He does not foresee a repeat this year. "For 2004, I do not expect the increase to continue to accelerate at that pace," Bolton said. "It's not conceivable. We are already seeing a leveling off." "Several bankruptcy lawyers attributed the state's jump in cases to a dramatic rise in personal filings. Colorado's economy has struggled since 2000 amid job losses, particularly in the telecommunications and technology industries... "..."Colorado's economy itself right now is lagging behind most other states in terms of the recovery," said Tom Connolly of Broomfield law firm Connolly, Rosania and Loftstedt..." Debbi who learned today that *another* person she knows is getting laid off __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? Yahoo! Hotjobs: Enter the "Signing Bonus" Sweepstakes http://hotjobs.sweepstakes.yahoo.com/signingbonus _______________________________________________ http://www.mccmedia.com/mailman/listinfo/brin-l
