On Wed, May 26, 2004 at 02:46:35PM +0000, Robert J. Chassell wrote: > Others think the opposite, that a symbolically powerful attack will > increase US support for Bush in the election. I think it depends > on timing. In the very short term, I expect an attack to increase > support -- the `rally around the President' effect. But in a month or > two, I expect an attack to cause people to start asking whether the > Bush administration acted competently in the past 2.5 years to defend > Americans. Thus an attack in June, July, or August may well lead to > Bush defeat, but an attack just before the election may lead to his > victory.
I meant to reply to this point as well -- I just don't see a terrorist attack hurting Bush, no matter when it comes. Why would Americans suddenly hold Bush responsible for incompetence when they have failed to do so many times already? -- Erik Reuter http://www.erikreuter.net/
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