People on this list have argued for the advantages of a free market system
for health care and health care insurance.  I have thought about it, and
decided to apply what we know from other markets that have considerable
less government intervention.

For example, big screen TVs.  If you have the money and want it enough, you
decide to buy it.  If you don't have the money, you don't buy it.

So, if a heart bypass will save someone's life, and they don't have the
cash to pay for it and the banks won't loan them the money, they die.  If
someone cannot afford chemotherapy, they don't get it.  Thus, they die.

The closest thing we have to this in the US are those folks who don't have
health insurance and do not qualify for Medicare.  We find that those among
this group are more likely to die if they have a first stage cancer than
someone with health insurance and a second stage cancer. And, this even
with the non-free market principal that hospitals must provide care if
death is imminent without care.

Now, one might argue that privately bought insurance is the answer to this.
Well, normal insurance for someone with no history of health problems is
about 6500 per year for an individual and about 14k/year for a family
(paying for COBRA for my daughter who's between being covered by our health
care and health care from her first real job gives me the first number
pretty accurately).  

But, if one has risk, one has to get risk pool insurance.  I own my own
business, and looked at private insurance vs. COBRA for our family.  The
health insurance broker looked at our family and gave up...my wife had a
pre-existing condition, which meant he couldn't compete.  My friend who is
also self-employed has a wife with diabetes.  He has to pay in the 40k
range for basic, no frills insurance.  

If we extend this to eliminating Medicare, we will clearly see that as one
ages, one goes from the low risk to the high risk pool.  Thus, older people
will find that they would have to pay 40k+ for insurance.  

For the vast majority of them, this will exceed the maximum amount of
income they could devote to insurance (assuming they ate and lived
somewhere cheap).  Thus, they would not have insurance, and would be
looking at any serious treatment as too expensive.

The result would be that a lot of people would die far sooner.  John
Williams pointed out the absurdity of paying for very expensive surgery for
those in there late 80s, who are likely to die soon.  I don't disagree with
that....the US system is just about the only one where that happens.  But,
letÂ’s say someone can have chemotherapy at 70, the cancer goes into
remission, and they live another 15 years.  That's not absurd, IMHO.

So, I'm curious.  Do the advocates of switching to the only totally free
market health care system in the world, you know those who are not their
brothers keepers, think that we are morally obliged to go to a system that
will lower US life expectancy significantly (probably 5-10 years)?

Dan M.


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